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Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Open market

Same event, all outcomes

Harry KaneUpdated 1 minute ago58.3% Lamine YamalUpdated 1 minute ago22.1% Kylian MbappéUpdated 1 minute ago7.7% Lionel MessiUpdated 1 minute ago5.3% RodriUpdated 1 minute ago4.5% Khvicha KvaratskheliaUpdated 1 minute ago1.9% Ousmane DembéléUpdated 1 minute ago0.9% Fabian RuizUpdated 1 minute ago0.5% Michael OliseUpdated 1 minute ago0.4% Erling HaalandUpdated 1 minute ago0.2% Pau CubarsiUpdated 1 minute ago0.1% RodrygoUpdated 1 week ago0.1% Dominik SzoboszlaiUpdated 1 week ago0.1% Luis DiazUpdated 1 minute ago0.1% Achraf HakimiUpdated 1 minute ago0.1% Desire DoueUpdated 1 week ago0.1% Federico ValverdeUpdated 1 week ago0.1% Enzo FernandezUpdated 1 week ago0.1% Bukayo SakaUpdated 1 week ago0.1% Cristiano RonaldoUpdated 1 week ago0.1% Lautaro MartinezUpdated 1 minute ago0.1% Bruno FernandesUpdated 1 minute ago0.1% RaphinhaUpdated 1 week ago0.1% Julian AlvarezUpdated 1 week ago0.1% VitinhaUpdated 1 minute ago0.1% Declan RiceUpdated 1 minute ago0.1% Cole PalmerUpdated 1 week ago0.1% PedriUpdated 1 week ago0.1% Vinícius JúniorUpdated 1 minute ago0.1% Mohamed SalahUpdated 1 week ago0.1% Jude BellinghamUpdated 1 minute ago0.1%

Price history

Recorded probability
Recorded market probability from Aug 23, 04:16 to Sep 21, 17:46 0%25%50%75%100% Aug 23, 04:16Sep 21, 17:46

Up to 400 most recent snapshots in this period. Lines connect recorded points; prices between them may have moved.

View recorded values 369 snapshots
Recorded atProbability
Sep 21, 17:46 UTC0.1%
Sep 21, 16:46 UTC0.1%
Sep 21, 15:46 UTC0.1%
Sep 21, 14:45 UTC0.1%
Sep 21, 13:45 UTC0.1%
Sep 21, 12:31 UTC0.1%
Sep 21, 11:31 UTC0.1%
Sep 21, 10:30 UTC0.1%
Sep 21, 09:30 UTC0.1%
Sep 21, 08:16 UTC0.1%
Sep 21, 07:16 UTC0.1%
Sep 21, 06:16 UTC0.1%
Sep 21, 05:15 UTC0.1%
Sep 21, 04:15 UTC0.1%
Sep 21, 03:01 UTC0.1%
Sep 21, 02:00 UTC0.1%
Sep 21, 00:46 UTC0.1%
Sep 20, 23:46 UTC0.1%
Sep 20, 22:46 UTC0.1%
Sep 20, 21:45 UTC0.1%
Sep 20, 20:45 UTC0.1%
Sep 20, 19:45 UTC0.1%
Sep 20, 18:41 UTC0.1%
Sep 20, 17:40 UTC0.1%
Sep 20, 16:33 UTC0.1%
Sep 20, 15:25 UTC0.1%
Sep 20, 14:23 UTC0.1%
Sep 20, 13:01 UTC0.1%
Sep 20, 11:46 UTC0.1%
Sep 20, 10:45 UTC0.1%
Sep 20, 09:45 UTC0.1%
Sep 20, 08:45 UTC0.1%
Sep 20, 07:45 UTC0.1%
Sep 20, 06:31 UTC0.1%
Sep 20, 05:30 UTC0.1%
Sep 20, 04:16 UTC0.1%
Sep 20, 03:16 UTC0.1%
Sep 20, 02:15 UTC0.1%
Sep 20, 01:01 UTC0.1%
Sep 20, 00:00 UTC0.1%
Sep 19, 22:46 UTC0.1%
Sep 19, 21:46 UTC0.1%
Sep 19, 20:45 UTC0.1%
Sep 19, 19:32 UTC0.1%
Sep 19, 18:24 UTC0.1%
Sep 19, 17:20 UTC0.1%
Sep 19, 16:18 UTC0.1%
Sep 19, 15:14 UTC0.1%
Sep 19, 13:30 UTC0.1%
Sep 19, 12:30 UTC0.1%
Sep 19, 11:30 UTC0.1%
Sep 19, 10:30 UTC0.1%
Sep 19, 09:30 UTC0.1%
Sep 19, 08:16 UTC0.1%
Sep 19, 07:16 UTC0.1%
Sep 19, 06:16 UTC0.1%
Sep 19, 05:15 UTC0.1%
Sep 19, 04:15 UTC0.1%
Sep 19, 03:02 UTC0.1%
Sep 19, 02:01 UTC0.1%
Sep 19, 01:00 UTC0.1%
Sep 18, 23:46 UTC0.1%
Sep 18, 22:46 UTC0.1%
Sep 18, 21:46 UTC0.1%
Sep 18, 20:45 UTC0.1%
Sep 18, 19:45 UTC0.1%
Sep 18, 18:31 UTC0.1%
Sep 18, 17:30 UTC0.1%
Sep 18, 16:30 UTC0.1%
Sep 18, 15:30 UTC0.1%
Sep 18, 14:30 UTC0.1%
Sep 18, 13:16 UTC0.1%
Sep 18, 12:15 UTC0.1%
Sep 18, 11:15 UTC0.1%
Sep 18, 10:15 UTC0.1%
Sep 18, 09:01 UTC0.1%
Sep 18, 08:00 UTC0.1%
Sep 18, 06:46 UTC0.1%
Sep 18, 05:46 UTC0.1%
Sep 18, 04:45 UTC0.1%
Sep 18, 03:45 UTC0.1%
Sep 18, 02:45 UTC0.1%
Sep 18, 01:31 UTC0.1%
Sep 18, 00:31 UTC0.1%
Sep 17, 23:30 UTC0.1%
Sep 17, 22:30 UTC0.1%
Sep 17, 21:30 UTC0.1%
Sep 17, 20:16 UTC0.1%
Sep 17, 19:15 UTC0.1%
Sep 17, 18:15 UTC0.1%
Sep 17, 17:15 UTC0.1%
Sep 17, 16:15 UTC0.1%
Sep 17, 15:01 UTC0.1%
Sep 17, 14:01 UTC0.1%
Sep 17, 13:00 UTC0.1%
Sep 17, 11:46 UTC0.1%
Sep 17, 10:46 UTC0.1%
Sep 17, 09:45 UTC0.1%
Sep 17, 08:45 UTC0.1%
Sep 17, 07:45 UTC0.1%
Sep 17, 06:45 UTC0.1%
Sep 17, 05:31 UTC0.1%
Sep 17, 04:30 UTC0.1%
Sep 17, 03:30 UTC0.1%
Sep 17, 02:30 UTC0.1%
Sep 17, 01:30 UTC0.1%
Sep 17, 00:30 UTC0.1%
Sep 16, 23:16 UTC0.1%
Sep 16, 22:16 UTC0.1%
Sep 16, 21:15 UTC0.1%
Sep 16, 20:15 UTC0.1%
Sep 16, 19:15 UTC0.1%
Sep 16, 18:01 UTC0.1%
Sep 16, 17:01 UTC0.1%
Sep 16, 16:00 UTC0.1%
Sep 16, 15:00 UTC0.1%
Sep 16, 13:46 UTC0.1%
Sep 16, 12:45 UTC0.1%
Sep 16, 11:45 UTC0.1%
Sep 16, 10:31 UTC0.1%
Sep 16, 09:30 UTC0.1%
Sep 16, 08:30 UTC0.1%
Sep 16, 07:30 UTC0.1%
Sep 16, 06:16 UTC0.1%
Sep 16, 05:16 UTC0.1%
Sep 16, 04:16 UTC0.1%
Sep 16, 03:16 UTC0.1%
Sep 16, 02:16 UTC0.1%
Sep 16, 01:15 UTC0.1%
Sep 16, 00:01 UTC0.1%
Sep 15, 23:01 UTC0.1%
Sep 15, 22:00 UTC0.1%
Sep 15, 20:46 UTC0.1%
Sep 15, 19:46 UTC0.1%
Sep 15, 18:45 UTC0.1%
Sep 15, 17:31 UTC0.1%
Sep 15, 16:31 UTC0.1%
Sep 15, 15:31 UTC0.1%
Sep 15, 14:31 UTC0.1%
Sep 15, 13:31 UTC0.1%
Sep 15, 12:31 UTC0.1%
Sep 15, 11:30 UTC0.1%
Sep 15, 10:30 UTC0.1%
Sep 15, 09:16 UTC0.1%
Sep 15, 08:15 UTC0.1%
Sep 15, 07:15 UTC0.1%
Sep 15, 06:01 UTC0.1%
Sep 15, 05:01 UTC0.1%
Sep 15, 04:00 UTC0.1%
Sep 15, 02:46 UTC0.1%
Sep 15, 01:45 UTC0.1%
Sep 15, 00:45 UTC0.1%
Sep 14, 23:31 UTC0.1%
Sep 14, 22:31 UTC0.1%
Sep 14, 21:31 UTC0.1%
Sep 14, 20:30 UTC0.1%
Sep 14, 19:16 UTC0.1%
Sep 14, 18:16 UTC0.1%
Sep 14, 17:16 UTC0.1%
Sep 14, 16:16 UTC0.1%
Sep 14, 15:15 UTC0.1%
Sep 14, 14:15 UTC0.1%
Sep 14, 13:01 UTC0.1%
Sep 14, 12:00 UTC0.1%
Sep 14, 11:00 UTC0.1%
Sep 14, 10:00 UTC0.1%
Sep 14, 08:46 UTC0.1%
Sep 14, 07:46 UTC0.1%
Sep 14, 06:46 UTC0.1%
Sep 14, 05:45 UTC0.1%
Sep 14, 04:45 UTC0.1%
Sep 14, 03:45 UTC0.1%
Sep 14, 02:31 UTC0.1%
Sep 14, 01:31 UTC0.1%
Sep 14, 00:31 UTC0.1%
Sep 13, 23:30 UTC0.1%
Sep 13, 22:30 UTC0.1%
Sep 13, 21:16 UTC0.1%
Sep 13, 20:16 UTC0.1%
Sep 13, 19:15 UTC0.1%
Sep 13, 18:01 UTC0.1%
Sep 13, 17:01 UTC0.1%
Sep 13, 16:00 UTC0.1%
Sep 13, 14:46 UTC0.1%
Sep 13, 13:46 UTC0.1%
Sep 13, 12:45 UTC0.1%
Sep 13, 11:45 UTC0.1%
Sep 13, 10:31 UTC0.1%
Sep 13, 09:31 UTC0.1%
Sep 13, 08:30 UTC0.1%
Sep 13, 07:30 UTC0.1%
Sep 13, 06:30 UTC0.1%
Sep 13, 05:30 UTC0.1%
Sep 13, 04:30 UTC0.1%
Sep 13, 03:30 UTC0.1%
Sep 13, 02:16 UTC0.1%
Sep 13, 01:15 UTC0.1%
Sep 13, 00:15 UTC0.1%
Sep 12, 23:15 UTC0.1%
Sep 12, 22:15 UTC0.1%
Sep 12, 21:09 UTC0.1%
Sep 12, 20:09 UTC0.1%
Sep 12, 18:18 UTC0.1%
Sep 12, 17:18 UTC0.1%
Sep 12, 16:17 UTC0.1%
Sep 12, 15:14 UTC0.1%
Sep 12, 13:30 UTC0.1%
Sep 12, 12:16 UTC0.1%
Sep 12, 11:15 UTC0.1%
Sep 12, 10:15 UTC0.1%
Sep 12, 09:15 UTC0.1%
Sep 12, 08:01 UTC0.1%
Sep 12, 07:01 UTC0.1%
Sep 12, 06:00 UTC0.1%
Sep 12, 05:00 UTC0.1%
Sep 12, 03:46 UTC0.1%
Sep 12, 02:45 UTC0.1%
Sep 12, 01:45 UTC0.1%
Sep 12, 00:31 UTC0.1%
Sep 11, 23:30 UTC0.1%
Sep 11, 22:16 UTC0.1%
Sep 11, 21:16 UTC0.1%
Sep 11, 20:16 UTC0.1%
Sep 11, 19:16 UTC0.1%
Sep 11, 18:16 UTC0.1%
Sep 11, 17:15 UTC0.1%
Sep 11, 16:01 UTC0.1%
Sep 11, 15:01 UTC0.1%
Sep 11, 14:00 UTC0.1%
Sep 11, 12:46 UTC0.1%
Sep 11, 11:45 UTC0.1%
Sep 11, 10:31 UTC0.1%
Sep 11, 09:31 UTC0.1%
Sep 11, 08:30 UTC0.1%
Sep 11, 07:16 UTC0.1%
Sep 11, 06:16 UTC0.1%
Sep 11, 05:16 UTC0.1%
Sep 11, 04:15 UTC0.1%
Sep 11, 03:15 UTC0.1%
Sep 11, 02:01 UTC0.1%
Sep 11, 01:01 UTC0.1%
Sep 11, 00:00 UTC0.1%
Sep 10, 22:46 UTC0.1%
Sep 10, 21:46 UTC0.1%
Sep 10, 20:46 UTC0.1%
Sep 10, 19:45 UTC0.1%
Sep 10, 18:31 UTC0.1%
Sep 10, 17:15 UTC0.1%
Sep 10, 16:02 UTC0.1%
Sep 10, 15:01 UTC0.1%
Sep 10, 14:00 UTC0.1%
Sep 10, 13:00 UTC0.1%
Sep 10, 11:46 UTC0.1%
Sep 10, 10:46 UTC0.1%
Sep 10, 09:45 UTC0.1%
Sep 10, 08:45 UTC0.1%
Sep 10, 07:45 UTC0.1%
Sep 10, 06:31 UTC0.1%
Sep 10, 05:31 UTC0.1%
Sep 10, 04:31 UTC0.2%
Sep 10, 03:31 UTC0.2%
Sep 10, 02:31 UTC0.2%
Sep 10, 01:30 UTC0.2%
Sep 10, 00:30 UTC0.2%
Sep 9, 23:30 UTC0.2%
Sep 9, 22:16 UTC0.2%
Sep 9, 21:16 UTC0.2%
Sep 9, 20:15 UTC0.2%
Sep 9, 19:15 UTC0.2%
Sep 9, 18:01 UTC0.2%
Sep 9, 17:01 UTC0.2%
Sep 9, 16:00 UTC0.2%
Sep 9, 14:46 UTC0.2%
Sep 9, 13:46 UTC0.2%
Sep 9, 12:46 UTC0.2%
Sep 9, 11:46 UTC0.2%
Sep 9, 10:45 UTC0.2%
Sep 9, 09:45 UTC0.2%
Sep 9, 08:45 UTC0.2%
Sep 9, 07:45 UTC0.2%
Sep 9, 06:45 UTC0.2%
Sep 9, 05:45 UTC0.2%
Sep 9, 04:31 UTC0.2%
Sep 9, 03:31 UTC0.2%
Sep 9, 02:31 UTC0.2%
Sep 9, 01:30 UTC0.2%
Sep 9, 00:30 UTC0.2%
Sep 8, 23:30 UTC0.2%
Sep 8, 22:30 UTC0.2%
Sep 8, 21:30 UTC0.2%
Sep 8, 20:19 UTC0.2%
Sep 8, 19:16 UTC0.2%
Sep 8, 18:01 UTC0.2%
Sep 8, 17:01 UTC0.2%
Sep 8, 16:00 UTC0.2%
Sep 8, 14:46 UTC0.2%
Sep 8, 13:46 UTC0.2%
Sep 8, 12:46 UTC0.2%
Sep 8, 11:46 UTC0.2%
Sep 8, 10:46 UTC0.2%
Sep 8, 09:45 UTC0.2%
Sep 8, 08:31 UTC0.2%
Sep 8, 07:31 UTC0.2%
Sep 8, 06:31 UTC0.2%
Sep 8, 05:31 UTC0.2%
Sep 8, 04:31 UTC0.2%
Sep 8, 03:30 UTC0.2%
Sep 8, 02:30 UTC0.2%
Sep 8, 01:30 UTC0.2%
Sep 8, 00:16 UTC0.2%
Sep 7, 23:16 UTC0.2%
Sep 7, 22:16 UTC0.2%
Sep 7, 21:15 UTC0.2%
Sep 7, 20:01 UTC0.2%
Sep 7, 19:01 UTC0.2%
Sep 7, 18:00 UTC0.2%
Sep 7, 16:46 UTC0.2%
Sep 7, 15:46 UTC0.2%
Sep 7, 14:45 UTC0.2%
Sep 7, 13:31 UTC0.2%
Sep 7, 12:31 UTC0.2%
Sep 7, 11:31 UTC0.2%
Sep 7, 10:30 UTC0.2%
Sep 7, 09:30 UTC0.2%
Sep 7, 08:16 UTC0.2%
Sep 7, 07:16 UTC0.2%
Sep 7, 06:16 UTC0.2%
Sep 7, 05:15 UTC0.2%
Sep 7, 04:01 UTC0.2%
Sep 7, 03:01 UTC0.2%
Sep 7, 02:00 UTC0.2%
Sep 7, 00:46 UTC0.2%
Sep 6, 23:46 UTC0.2%
Sep 6, 22:45 UTC0.2%
Sep 6, 21:45 UTC0.2%
Sep 6, 20:31 UTC0.2%
Sep 6, 19:30 UTC0.2%
Sep 6, 18:30 UTC0.2%
Sep 6, 17:30 UTC0.2%
Sep 6, 16:16 UTC0.2%
Sep 6, 15:15 UTC0.2%
Sep 6, 14:01 UTC0.2%
Sep 6, 13:01 UTC0.2%
Sep 6, 12:00 UTC0.2%
Sep 6, 10:46 UTC0.2%
Sep 6, 09:45 UTC0.2%
Sep 6, 08:45 UTC0.2%
Sep 6, 07:45 UTC0.2%
Sep 6, 06:31 UTC0.2%
Sep 6, 05:31 UTC0.2%
Sep 6, 04:31 UTC0.2%
Sep 6, 03:30 UTC0.2%
Sep 6, 02:30 UTC0.2%
Sep 6, 01:30 UTC0.2%
Sep 6, 00:20 UTC0.2%
Sep 5, 04:16 UTC0.2%
Sep 4, 04:16 UTC0.2%
Sep 3, 04:16 UTC0.2%
Sep 2, 04:16 UTC0.2%
Sep 1, 04:16 UTC0.2%
Aug 31, 04:16 UTC0.2%
Aug 30, 04:16 UTC0.2%
Aug 29, 04:16 UTC0.2%
Aug 28, 04:16 UTC0.2%
Aug 27, 04:16 UTC0.2%
Aug 26, 04:16 UTC0.2%
Aug 25, 04:16 UTC0.2%
Aug 24, 04:16 UTC0.2%
Aug 23, 04:16 UTC0.2%

What settles this market?

Resolution rules supplied by Polymarket. A price near 100% is not confirmation that an outcome has been settled.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).

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