Active Market Updated 1 minute ago

Will Raphinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon dโ€™Or. If no 2026 Ballon dโ€™Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).

Current Probability

0.2%

Odds provided by Polymarket Polymarket

0%

YES

Volume

$301,936

Liquidity

$50,267

Odds

666.67 decimal 100/1 fractional

Resolution Countdown

00
Days
00
Hours
00
Mins
00
Secs

Oct 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM

Trade on Polymarket

Probability Trend

100% 75% 50% 25% 0%
30 days ago Now

Market Details

Market ID
608558...
Status
Active
Created
Apr 19, 2026
Resolution Date
Oct 31, 2026
Last Updated
1 minute ago
Update Frequency
Every hour

How It Works

1

Buy YES or NO shares

Trade based on whether you think this outcome will happen.

2

Price = Probability

A 0% price means the market thinks there's a 0% chance.

3

Win $1 per correct share

If you're right, each share is worth $1. If wrong, $0.