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Will Cristiano Ronaldo win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Open market

Same event, all outcomes

Harry KaneUpdated 12 minutes ago48.0% Lamine YamalUpdated 12 minutes ago45.1% Lionel MessiUpdated 12 minutes ago2.7% Kylian MbappéUpdated 12 minutes ago2.3% RodriUpdated 12 minutes ago1.3% Khvicha KvaratskheliaUpdated 12 minutes ago0.5% Ousmane DembéléUpdated 12 minutes ago0.4% Michael OliseUpdated 12 minutes ago0.3% Erling HaalandUpdated 12 minutes ago0.2% Fabian RuizUpdated 12 minutes ago0.2% Pau CubarsiUpdated 12 minutes ago0.1% RodrygoUpdated 4 weeks ago0.1% Dominik SzoboszlaiUpdated 4 weeks ago0.1% Luis DiazUpdated 12 minutes ago0.1% Achraf HakimiUpdated 12 minutes ago0.1% Desire DoueUpdated 4 weeks ago0.1% Federico ValverdeUpdated 4 weeks ago0.1% Enzo FernandezUpdated 4 weeks ago0.1% Bukayo SakaUpdated 4 weeks ago0.1% Cristiano RonaldoUpdated 4 weeks ago0.1% Lautaro MartinezUpdated 12 minutes ago0.1% Bruno FernandesUpdated 12 minutes ago0.1% RaphinhaUpdated 4 weeks ago0.1% Julian AlvarezUpdated 4 weeks ago0.1% VitinhaUpdated 12 minutes ago0.1% Declan RiceUpdated 12 minutes ago0.1% Cole PalmerUpdated 4 weeks ago0.1% PedriUpdated 4 weeks ago0.1% Vinícius JúniorUpdated 12 minutes ago0.1% Mohamed SalahUpdated 4 weeks ago0.1% Jude BellinghamUpdated 12 minutes ago0.1%

Price history

Recorded probability
Recorded market probability from Sep 7, 02:00 to Sep 8, 19:16 0%25%50%75%100% Sep 7, 02:00Sep 8, 19:16

Up to 400 most recent snapshots in this period. Lines connect recorded points; prices between them may have moved.

View recorded values 40 snapshots
Recorded atProbability
Sep 8, 19:16 UTC0.1%
Sep 8, 18:01 UTC0.1%
Sep 8, 17:01 UTC0.1%
Sep 8, 16:00 UTC0.1%
Sep 8, 14:46 UTC0.1%
Sep 8, 13:46 UTC0.1%
Sep 8, 12:46 UTC0.1%
Sep 8, 11:46 UTC0.1%
Sep 8, 10:46 UTC0.1%
Sep 8, 09:45 UTC0.1%
Sep 8, 08:31 UTC0.1%
Sep 8, 07:31 UTC0.1%
Sep 8, 06:31 UTC0.1%
Sep 8, 05:31 UTC0.1%
Sep 8, 04:30 UTC0.1%
Sep 8, 03:16 UTC0.1%
Sep 8, 02:16 UTC0.1%
Sep 8, 01:16 UTC0.1%
Sep 8, 00:15 UTC0.1%
Sep 7, 23:15 UTC0.1%
Sep 7, 22:01 UTC0.1%
Sep 7, 21:01 UTC0.1%
Sep 7, 20:00 UTC0.1%
Sep 7, 19:00 UTC0.1%
Sep 7, 17:46 UTC0.1%
Sep 7, 16:46 UTC0.1%
Sep 7, 15:46 UTC0.1%
Sep 7, 14:45 UTC0.1%
Sep 7, 13:31 UTC0.1%
Sep 7, 12:31 UTC0.1%
Sep 7, 11:31 UTC0.1%
Sep 7, 10:30 UTC0.1%
Sep 7, 09:30 UTC0.1%
Sep 7, 08:16 UTC0.1%
Sep 7, 07:16 UTC0.1%
Sep 7, 06:16 UTC0.1%
Sep 7, 05:15 UTC0.1%
Sep 7, 04:01 UTC0.1%
Sep 7, 03:01 UTC0.1%
Sep 7, 02:00 UTC0.1%

What settles this market?

Resolution rules supplied by Polymarket. A price near 100% is not confirmation that an outcome has been settled.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).

Related reporting

Bruno Fernandes defends Ronaldo’s Portugal standing after squad exit3 Oct 2026Jorge Jesus Named Portugal Head Coach, Reuniting with Cristiano Ronaldo for 2030 World Cup Push10 Jul 2026Remembering Cristiano Ronaldo's magic: His best skills and showboats for Manchester United7 Jul 2026Italian Papers: Ronaldo’s World Cup Farewell, Juventus Target Pellegrino, and Red Card Controversy7 Jul 2026Cristiano Ronaldo Bids Farewell to World Cup Stage After Portugal's Heartbreaking Exit7 Jul 2026

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