Active Market Updated 1 minute ago

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).

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Current Probability

64.0%

↑ 0.02% (24h)

Odds provided by Polymarket Polymarket

64%

YES

Volume

$3,800,956

Liquidity

$181,678

Odds

1.62 decimal 1/2 fractional

Resolution Countdown

00
Days
00
Hours
00
Mins
00
Secs

Oct 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM

Trade on Polymarket

Probability Trend

100% 75% 50% 25% 0%
30 days ago Now

Market Details

Market ID
608547...
Status
Active
Created
Apr 19, 2026
Resolution Date
Oct 31, 2026
Last Updated
1 minute ago
Update Frequency
Every hour

How It Works

1

Buy YES or NO shares

Trade based on whether you think this outcome will happen.

2

Price = Probability

A 64% price means the market thinks there's a 64% chance.

3

Win $1 per correct share

If you're right, each share is worth $1. If wrong, $0.

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