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Will Cristiano Ronaldo finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

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Same event, all outcomes

Harry KaneUpdated 11 minutes ago97.7% Lamine YamalUpdated 11 minutes ago95.4% Kylian MbappéUpdated 11 minutes ago84.0% Lionel MessiUpdated 11 minutes ago72.0% RodriUpdated 11 minutes ago65.5% Khvicha KvaratskheliaUpdated 11 minutes ago62.0% Ousmane DembéléUpdated 11 minutes ago35.5% Michael OliseUpdated 11 minutes ago35.0% Declan RiceUpdated 11 minutes ago12.5% Pau CubarsiUpdated 11 minutes ago11.9% Jude BellinghamUpdated 11 minutes ago6.6% Erling HaalandUpdated 11 minutes ago6.5% VitinhaUpdated 11 minutes ago4.3% Fabian RuizUpdated 11 minutes ago3.2% Luis DiazUpdated 11 minutes ago3.0% Achraf HakimiUpdated 11 minutes ago2.9% Bruno FernandesUpdated 11 minutes ago1.6% Vinícius JúniorUpdated 11 minutes ago1.3% Lautaro MartinezUpdated 11 minutes ago1.3% Bukayo SakaUpdated 1 week ago0.5% RaphinhaUpdated 1 week ago0.5% PedriUpdated 1 week ago0.4% Cole PalmerUpdated 1 week ago0.4% Enzo FernandezUpdated 1 week ago0.3% Dominik SzoboszlaiUpdated 1 week ago0.3% Federico ValverdeUpdated 1 week ago0.2% RodrygoUpdated 1 week ago0.2% Mohamed SalahUpdated 1 week ago0.2% Desire DoueUpdated 1 week ago0.1% Julian AlvarezUpdated 1 week ago0.1% Cristiano RonaldoUpdated 1 week ago0.1%

Price history

Recorded probability
Recorded market probability from Sep 6, 00:21 to Sep 9, 12:00 0%25%50%75%100% Sep 6, 00:21Sep 9, 12:00

Up to 400 most recent snapshots in this period. Lines connect recorded points; prices between them may have moved.

View recorded values 29 snapshots
Recorded atProbability
Sep 9, 12:00 UTC0.1%
Sep 9, 11:00 UTC0.1%
Sep 9, 09:46 UTC1.0%
Sep 9, 08:46 UTC1.0%
Sep 9, 07:46 UTC1.1%
Sep 9, 06:45 UTC1.1%
Sep 9, 05:31 UTC1.5%
Sep 9, 04:30 UTC1.4%
Sep 9, 03:30 UTC1.0%
Sep 9, 02:30 UTC1.4%
Sep 9, 01:16 UTC1.0%
Sep 9, 00:15 UTC1.2%
Sep 8, 23:15 UTC1.1%
Sep 8, 22:15 UTC0.9%
Sep 8, 21:04 UTC1.0%
Sep 8, 20:02 UTC0.9%
Sep 8, 18:45 UTC1.3%
Sep 8, 17:31 UTC0.9%
Sep 8, 16:31 UTC1.1%
Sep 8, 15:31 UTC1.1%
Sep 8, 14:30 UTC1.5%
Sep 8, 13:01 UTC1.5%
Sep 8, 12:01 UTC1.5%
Sep 8, 11:00 UTC1.5%
Sep 8, 10:00 UTC1.5%
Sep 8, 05:01 UTC1.5%
Sep 8, 04:00 UTC1.5%
Sep 8, 00:46 UTC1.5%
Sep 6, 00:21 UTC1.6%

What settles this market?

Resolution rules supplied by Polymarket. A price near 100% is not confirmation that an outcome has been settled.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cristiano Ronaldo officially finishes in the top 5 (positions 1 through 5) of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or final ranking. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the 2026 Ballon d'Or is canceled or a final ranking has not been published by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be the official Ballon d'Or announcement (https://www.ballondor.com/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related reporting

Jorge Jesus Named Portugal Head Coach, Reuniting with Cristiano Ronaldo for 2030 World Cup Push10 Jul 2026Remembering Cristiano Ronaldo's magic: His best skills and showboats for Manchester United7 Jul 2026Italian Papers: Ronaldo’s World Cup Farewell, Juventus Target Pellegrino, and Red Card Controversy7 Jul 2026Cristiano Ronaldo Bids Farewell to World Cup Stage After Portugal's Heartbreaking Exit7 Jul 2026The Best to Never Win the World Cup: Ronaldo and Portugal Must Find New Paths7 Jul 2026

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