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Will Declan Rice finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Open market

Same event, all outcomes

Harry KaneUpdated 7 minutes ago97.7% Lamine YamalUpdated 7 minutes ago95.4% Kylian MbappéUpdated 7 minutes ago84.0% Lionel MessiUpdated 7 minutes ago72.0% RodriUpdated 7 minutes ago65.5% Khvicha KvaratskheliaUpdated 7 minutes ago62.0% Ousmane DembéléUpdated 7 minutes ago35.5% Michael OliseUpdated 7 minutes ago35.0% Declan RiceUpdated 7 minutes ago12.5% Pau CubarsiUpdated 7 minutes ago11.9% Jude BellinghamUpdated 7 minutes ago6.6% Erling HaalandUpdated 7 minutes ago6.5% VitinhaUpdated 7 minutes ago4.3% Fabian RuizUpdated 7 minutes ago3.2% Luis DiazUpdated 7 minutes ago3.0% Achraf HakimiUpdated 7 minutes ago2.9% Bruno FernandesUpdated 7 minutes ago1.6% Vinícius JúniorUpdated 7 minutes ago1.3% Lautaro MartinezUpdated 7 minutes ago1.3% Bukayo SakaUpdated 1 week ago0.5% RaphinhaUpdated 1 week ago0.5% PedriUpdated 1 week ago0.4% Cole PalmerUpdated 1 week ago0.4% Enzo FernandezUpdated 1 week ago0.3% Dominik SzoboszlaiUpdated 1 week ago0.3% Federico ValverdeUpdated 1 week ago0.2% RodrygoUpdated 1 week ago0.2% Mohamed SalahUpdated 1 week ago0.2% Desire DoueUpdated 1 week ago0.1% Julian AlvarezUpdated 1 week ago0.1% Cristiano RonaldoUpdated 1 week ago0.1%

Price history

Recorded probability
Recorded market probability from Sep 6, 00:21 to Sep 21, 19:15 0%25%50%75%100% Sep 6, 00:21Sep 21, 19:15

Up to 400 most recent snapshots in this period. Lines connect recorded points; prices between them may have moved.

View recorded values 98 snapshots
Recorded atProbability
Sep 21, 19:15 UTC12.5%
Sep 21, 18:01 UTC13.0%
Sep 21, 16:46 UTC13.0%
Sep 21, 15:46 UTC13.0%
Sep 21, 14:45 UTC13.0%
Sep 21, 13:45 UTC13.0%
Sep 21, 12:31 UTC13.0%
Sep 21, 11:31 UTC13.0%
Sep 21, 10:30 UTC13.0%
Sep 21, 09:16 UTC13.0%
Sep 21, 08:15 UTC13.0%
Sep 21, 07:15 UTC13.0%
Sep 21, 06:15 UTC13.0%
Sep 21, 05:15 UTC13.0%
Sep 21, 04:15 UTC13.0%
Sep 21, 03:01 UTC13.0%
Sep 21, 02:01 UTC13.0%
Sep 21, 01:00 UTC13.0%
Sep 21, 00:00 UTC13.0%
Sep 20, 06:15 UTC14.0%
Sep 20, 05:15 UTC14.0%
Sep 20, 04:01 UTC14.0%
Sep 20, 03:00 UTC14.5%
Sep 19, 23:00 UTC14.0%
Sep 19, 21:07 UTC14.5%
Sep 19, 07:30 UTC9.5%
Sep 19, 06:30 UTC9.5%
Sep 19, 05:16 UTC9.5%
Sep 19, 04:16 UTC9.5%
Sep 19, 03:16 UTC9.5%
Sep 19, 02:15 UTC9.5%
Sep 19, 01:01 UTC9.5%
Sep 19, 00:01 UTC9.5%
Sep 18, 23:00 UTC9.5%
Sep 18, 22:00 UTC9.5%
Sep 18, 03:16 UTC8.5%
Sep 17, 03:01 UTC9.5%
Sep 16, 02:30 UTC9.0%
Sep 15, 23:00 UTC9.0%
Sep 15, 05:45 UTC8.5%
Sep 15, 04:45 UTC8.5%
Sep 15, 03:45 UTC9.5%
Sep 15, 02:31 UTC9.5%
Sep 14, 05:00 UTC6.5%
Sep 14, 02:16 UTC6.5%
Sep 13, 02:15 UTC6.5%
Sep 12, 01:46 UTC6.5%
Sep 11, 01:31 UTC7.0%
Sep 10, 10:00 UTC8.0%
Sep 10, 08:46 UTC8.0%
Sep 10, 07:46 UTC8.5%
Sep 10, 06:46 UTC10.0%
Sep 10, 05:45 UTC11.0%
Sep 10, 04:31 UTC10.5%
Sep 10, 03:31 UTC10.0%
Sep 10, 02:31 UTC10.5%
Sep 10, 01:30 UTC10.5%
Sep 10, 00:30 UTC10.0%
Sep 9, 23:30 UTC14.0%
Sep 9, 22:30 UTC14.0%
Sep 9, 21:30 UTC15.0%
Sep 9, 20:16 UTC15.5%
Sep 9, 19:16 UTC15.5%
Sep 9, 18:16 UTC16.0%
Sep 9, 17:15 UTC16.0%
Sep 9, 16:15 UTC16.0%
Sep 9, 15:15 UTC16.0%
Sep 9, 14:01 UTC15.5%
Sep 9, 13:01 UTC13.0%
Sep 9, 12:00 UTC13.0%
Sep 9, 11:00 UTC14.0%
Sep 9, 09:46 UTC13.0%
Sep 9, 08:46 UTC13.0%
Sep 9, 07:46 UTC14.0%
Sep 9, 06:45 UTC13.0%
Sep 9, 05:31 UTC13.0%
Sep 9, 04:30 UTC13.5%
Sep 9, 03:30 UTC12.5%
Sep 9, 02:30 UTC12.5%
Sep 9, 01:16 UTC14.0%
Sep 9, 00:15 UTC13.0%
Sep 8, 23:15 UTC12.5%
Sep 8, 22:15 UTC14.0%
Sep 8, 21:04 UTC14.0%
Sep 8, 20:02 UTC13.0%
Sep 8, 18:45 UTC13.0%
Sep 8, 17:31 UTC14.0%
Sep 8, 16:31 UTC13.0%
Sep 8, 15:31 UTC13.0%
Sep 8, 14:30 UTC14.0%
Sep 8, 13:01 UTC13.0%
Sep 8, 12:01 UTC13.0%
Sep 8, 11:00 UTC14.0%
Sep 8, 10:00 UTC13.0%
Sep 8, 05:01 UTC13.0%
Sep 8, 04:00 UTC14.5%
Sep 8, 00:46 UTC13.0%
Sep 6, 00:21 UTC13.0%

What settles this market?

Resolution rules supplied by Polymarket. A price near 100% is not confirmation that an outcome has been settled.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Declan Rice officially finishes in the top 5 (positions 1 through 5) of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or final ranking. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the 2026 Ballon d'Or is canceled or a final ranking has not been published by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be the official Ballon d'Or announcement (https://www.ballondor.com/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related reporting

England Injury Boost: Rice, Guehi and James Train Ahead of Norway Quarter-Final10 Jul 2026Declan Rice Injury Update: England Midfielder Fit for World Cup Quarter-Final Clash Against Norway10 Jul 2026Rice and Ødegaard put club union on hold in decisive duel between England and Norway9 Jul 2026The Key Players Walking Disciplinary Tightrope at World Cup 20268 Jul 2026‘It’s not been right’ – Carragher slams Tuchel’s right-back experiment, urges Konsa start4 Jul 2026

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