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Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Open market

Same event, all outcomes

Harry KaneUpdated 12 minutes ago97.7% Lamine YamalUpdated 12 minutes ago95.4% Kylian MbappéUpdated 12 minutes ago84.0% Lionel MessiUpdated 12 minutes ago72.0% RodriUpdated 12 minutes ago65.5% Khvicha KvaratskheliaUpdated 12 minutes ago62.0% Ousmane DembéléUpdated 12 minutes ago35.5% Michael OliseUpdated 12 minutes ago35.0% Declan RiceUpdated 12 minutes ago12.5% Pau CubarsiUpdated 12 minutes ago11.9% Jude BellinghamUpdated 12 minutes ago6.6% Erling HaalandUpdated 12 minutes ago6.5% VitinhaUpdated 12 minutes ago4.3% Fabian RuizUpdated 12 minutes ago3.2% Luis DiazUpdated 12 minutes ago3.0% Achraf HakimiUpdated 12 minutes ago2.9% Bruno FernandesUpdated 12 minutes ago1.6% Vinícius JúniorUpdated 12 minutes ago1.3% Lautaro MartinezUpdated 12 minutes ago1.3% Bukayo SakaUpdated 1 week ago0.5% RaphinhaUpdated 1 week ago0.5% PedriUpdated 1 week ago0.4% Cole PalmerUpdated 1 week ago0.4% Enzo FernandezUpdated 1 week ago0.3% Dominik SzoboszlaiUpdated 1 week ago0.3% Federico ValverdeUpdated 1 week ago0.2% RodrygoUpdated 1 week ago0.2% Mohamed SalahUpdated 1 week ago0.2% Desire DoueUpdated 1 week ago0.1% Julian AlvarezUpdated 1 week ago0.1% Cristiano RonaldoUpdated 1 week ago0.1%

Price history

Recorded probability
Recorded market probability from Sep 6, 00:21 to Sep 21, 19:15 0%25%50%75%100% Sep 6, 00:21Sep 21, 19:15

Up to 400 most recent snapshots in this period. Lines connect recorded points; prices between them may have moved.

View recorded values 98 snapshots
Recorded atProbability
Sep 21, 19:15 UTC62.0%
Sep 21, 18:01 UTC59.0%
Sep 21, 16:46 UTC49.5%
Sep 21, 15:46 UTC49.5%
Sep 21, 14:45 UTC49.5%
Sep 21, 13:45 UTC50.0%
Sep 21, 12:31 UTC50.0%
Sep 21, 11:31 UTC50.0%
Sep 21, 10:30 UTC50.0%
Sep 21, 09:30 UTC50.0%
Sep 21, 08:16 UTC50.0%
Sep 21, 07:16 UTC50.0%
Sep 21, 06:16 UTC50.0%
Sep 21, 05:15 UTC50.0%
Sep 21, 04:15 UTC50.0%
Sep 21, 03:01 UTC50.0%
Sep 21, 02:01 UTC50.0%
Sep 21, 01:00 UTC50.0%
Sep 21, 00:00 UTC50.0%
Sep 20, 06:15 UTC50.0%
Sep 20, 05:15 UTC50.0%
Sep 20, 04:01 UTC50.0%
Sep 20, 03:00 UTC50.0%
Sep 19, 23:00 UTC50.0%
Sep 19, 21:07 UTC50.0%
Sep 19, 07:30 UTC50.0%
Sep 19, 06:30 UTC50.0%
Sep 19, 05:16 UTC50.5%
Sep 19, 04:16 UTC50.5%
Sep 19, 03:16 UTC50.5%
Sep 19, 02:15 UTC51.0%
Sep 19, 01:01 UTC51.0%
Sep 19, 00:01 UTC51.0%
Sep 18, 23:00 UTC51.0%
Sep 18, 22:00 UTC51.0%
Sep 18, 03:16 UTC51.0%
Sep 17, 03:01 UTC53.0%
Sep 16, 02:30 UTC55.5%
Sep 15, 23:00 UTC55.5%
Sep 15, 05:45 UTC55.5%
Sep 15, 04:45 UTC55.5%
Sep 15, 03:45 UTC55.5%
Sep 15, 02:31 UTC55.5%
Sep 14, 05:00 UTC55.5%
Sep 14, 02:16 UTC55.5%
Sep 13, 02:15 UTC52.0%
Sep 12, 01:46 UTC52.5%
Sep 11, 01:31 UTC52.5%
Sep 10, 10:15 UTC52.0%
Sep 10, 09:15 UTC52.0%
Sep 10, 08:15 UTC52.0%
Sep 10, 07:01 UTC52.0%
Sep 10, 06:00 UTC52.0%
Sep 10, 04:46 UTC52.0%
Sep 10, 03:46 UTC52.0%
Sep 10, 02:45 UTC52.0%
Sep 10, 01:31 UTC52.5%
Sep 10, 00:31 UTC52.5%
Sep 9, 23:31 UTC52.5%
Sep 9, 22:30 UTC52.5%
Sep 9, 21:30 UTC52.5%
Sep 9, 20:16 UTC52.5%
Sep 9, 19:16 UTC52.5%
Sep 9, 18:16 UTC52.5%
Sep 9, 17:15 UTC52.5%
Sep 9, 16:15 UTC51.5%
Sep 9, 15:15 UTC51.5%
Sep 9, 14:01 UTC51.5%
Sep 9, 13:01 UTC50.5%
Sep 9, 12:00 UTC50.5%
Sep 9, 11:00 UTC50.5%
Sep 9, 09:46 UTC50.5%
Sep 9, 08:46 UTC50.5%
Sep 9, 07:46 UTC50.5%
Sep 9, 06:45 UTC50.5%
Sep 9, 05:31 UTC50.5%
Sep 9, 04:30 UTC50.5%
Sep 9, 03:30 UTC50.5%
Sep 9, 02:30 UTC50.5%
Sep 9, 01:16 UTC50.5%
Sep 9, 00:15 UTC50.5%
Sep 8, 23:15 UTC50.5%
Sep 8, 22:15 UTC50.5%
Sep 8, 21:04 UTC50.5%
Sep 8, 20:02 UTC50.5%
Sep 8, 18:45 UTC50.0%
Sep 8, 17:31 UTC50.5%
Sep 8, 16:31 UTC49.5%
Sep 8, 15:31 UTC49.5%
Sep 8, 14:30 UTC49.5%
Sep 8, 13:01 UTC49.5%
Sep 8, 12:01 UTC49.5%
Sep 8, 11:01 UTC49.5%
Sep 8, 10:00 UTC49.5%
Sep 8, 05:01 UTC49.5%
Sep 8, 04:00 UTC49.5%
Sep 8, 00:46 UTC49.5%
Sep 6, 00:21 UTC47.5%

What settles this market?

Resolution rules supplied by Polymarket. A price near 100% is not confirmation that an outcome has been settled.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Khvicha Kvaratskhelia officially finishes in the top 5 (positions 1 through 5) of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or final ranking. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the 2026 Ballon d'Or is canceled or a final ranking has not been published by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be the official Ballon d'Or announcement (https://www.ballondor.com/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related reporting

Kvaratskhelia’s late surge leaves Chelsea chasing shadows as PSG tighten grip on the tie12 Apr 2026

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