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Will Rodrygo finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

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Same event, all outcomes

Lamine YamalUpdated 9 minutes ago98.0% Harry KaneUpdated 9 minutes ago97.7% Kylian MbappéUpdated 9 minutes ago59.5% Lionel MessiUpdated 9 minutes ago29.0% RodriUpdated 9 minutes ago12.5% Khvicha KvaratskheliaUpdated 9 minutes ago11.3% Fabian RuizUpdated 9 minutes ago6.5% Michael OliseUpdated 9 minutes ago6.3% Ousmane DembéléUpdated 9 minutes ago6.0% Erling HaalandUpdated 9 minutes ago2.9% Jude BellinghamUpdated 9 minutes ago1.7% Pau CubarsiUpdated 9 minutes ago1.6% Achraf HakimiUpdated 9 minutes ago1.2% VitinhaUpdated 9 minutes ago1.0% Vinícius JúniorUpdated 9 minutes ago0.9% Luis DiazUpdated 9 minutes ago0.9% Declan RiceUpdated 9 minutes ago0.9% Lautaro MartinezUpdated 9 minutes ago0.5% Bruno FernandesUpdated 9 minutes ago0.3% RodrygoUpdated 3 weeks ago0.1% Cristiano RonaldoUpdated 3 weeks ago0.1% Dominik SzoboszlaiUpdated 3 weeks ago0.1% Enzo FernandezUpdated 3 weeks ago0.1% Bukayo SakaUpdated 3 weeks ago0.1% RaphinhaUpdated 3 weeks ago0.1% Desire DoueUpdated 3 weeks ago0.1% Julian AlvarezUpdated 3 weeks ago0.1% Federico ValverdeUpdated 3 weeks ago0.1% Cole PalmerUpdated 3 weeks ago0.1% PedriUpdated 3 weeks ago0.1% Mohamed SalahUpdated 3 weeks ago0.1%

Price history

Recorded probability
Recorded market probability from Sep 7, 00:31 to Sep 9, 11:46 0%25%50%75%100% Sep 7, 00:31Sep 9, 11:46

Up to 400 most recent snapshots in this period. Lines connect recorded points; prices between them may have moved.

View recorded values 31 snapshots
Recorded atProbability
Sep 9, 11:46 UTC0.1%
Sep 9, 10:46 UTC0.1%
Sep 9, 09:45 UTC0.2%
Sep 9, 08:45 UTC0.2%
Sep 9, 07:45 UTC0.2%
Sep 9, 06:45 UTC0.2%
Sep 9, 05:31 UTC0.2%
Sep 9, 04:30 UTC0.2%
Sep 9, 03:30 UTC0.2%
Sep 9, 02:30 UTC0.2%
Sep 9, 01:16 UTC0.2%
Sep 9, 00:15 UTC0.2%
Sep 8, 23:15 UTC0.2%
Sep 8, 22:15 UTC0.2%
Sep 8, 21:04 UTC0.2%
Sep 8, 20:02 UTC0.2%
Sep 8, 19:00 UTC0.2%
Sep 8, 17:31 UTC0.2%
Sep 8, 16:31 UTC0.2%
Sep 8, 15:31 UTC0.2%
Sep 8, 14:30 UTC0.2%
Sep 8, 11:15 UTC0.2%
Sep 8, 10:01 UTC0.2%
Sep 8, 09:01 UTC0.2%
Sep 8, 08:00 UTC0.2%
Sep 8, 06:46 UTC0.2%
Sep 8, 05:46 UTC0.2%
Sep 8, 04:45 UTC0.2%
Sep 8, 03:45 UTC0.2%
Sep 8, 00:46 UTC0.2%
Sep 7, 00:31 UTC0.2%

What settles this market?

Resolution rules supplied by Polymarket. A price near 100% is not confirmation that an outcome has been settled.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rodrygo officially finishes in the top 3 (positions 1 through 3) of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or final ranking. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the 2026 Ballon d'Or is canceled or a final ranking has not been published by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be the official Ballon d'Or announcement (https://www.ballondor.com/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related reporting

Rodrygo Opens Up on Social Media Pressure: 'Players Are Human Beings, but Focus Has to Be on the Pitch'19 Jun 2026

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