Will Julian Alvarez finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Open market
Same event, all outcomes
Price history
Recorded probabilityView recorded values
| Recorded at | Probability |
|---|---|
| Sep 9, 11:46 UTC | 0.1% |
| Sep 9, 10:46 UTC | 0.1% |
| Sep 9, 09:45 UTC | 1.4% |
| Sep 9, 08:45 UTC | 1.4% |
| Sep 9, 07:31 UTC | 1.4% |
| Sep 9, 06:31 UTC | 1.4% |
| Sep 9, 05:31 UTC | 1.4% |
| Sep 9, 04:30 UTC | 1.4% |
| Sep 9, 03:30 UTC | 1.4% |
| Sep 9, 02:30 UTC | 1.4% |
| Sep 9, 01:16 UTC | 1.4% |
| Sep 9, 00:15 UTC | 1.2% |
| Sep 8, 23:15 UTC | 1.2% |
| Sep 8, 22:15 UTC | 1.2% |
| Sep 8, 21:04 UTC | 1.2% |
| Sep 8, 20:02 UTC | 1.2% |
| Sep 8, 19:00 UTC | 1.2% |
| Sep 8, 17:31 UTC | 1.2% |
| Sep 8, 16:31 UTC | 1.2% |
| Sep 8, 15:31 UTC | 1.2% |
| Sep 8, 14:30 UTC | 1.2% |
| Sep 8, 11:15 UTC | 1.6% |
| Sep 8, 10:01 UTC | 1.6% |
| Sep 8, 09:01 UTC | 1.6% |
| Sep 8, 08:00 UTC | 1.6% |
| Sep 8, 06:46 UTC | 1.6% |
| Sep 8, 05:46 UTC | 1.6% |
| Sep 8, 04:45 UTC | 1.6% |
| Sep 8, 03:45 UTC | 1.6% |
| Sep 8, 00:46 UTC | 1.6% |
| Sep 7, 00:31 UTC | 1.6% |
| Sep 6, 00:20 UTC | 1.6% |
What settles this market?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Julian Alvarez officially finishes in the top 3 (positions 1 through 3) of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or final ranking. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the 2026 Ballon d'Or is canceled or a final ranking has not been published by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official Ballon d'Or announcement (https://www.ballondor.com/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.