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Will Bukayo Saka finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

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Same event, all outcomes

Harry KaneUpdated 11 minutes ago91.3% Lamine YamalUpdated 11 minutes ago83.0% Kylian MbappéUpdated 11 minutes ago51.0% Lionel MessiUpdated 11 minutes ago41.5% RodriUpdated 11 minutes ago29.5% Khvicha KvaratskheliaUpdated 11 minutes ago15.9% Ousmane DembéléUpdated 11 minutes ago13.5% Michael OliseUpdated 11 minutes ago9.8% Pau CubarsiUpdated 11 minutes ago4.4% Fabian RuizUpdated 11 minutes ago3.3% Jude BellinghamUpdated 11 minutes ago3.3% Achraf HakimiUpdated 11 minutes ago2.5% Luis DiazUpdated 11 minutes ago2.4% Erling HaalandUpdated 11 minutes ago2.1% VitinhaUpdated 11 minutes ago2.0% Declan RiceUpdated 11 minutes ago1.4% Vinícius JúniorUpdated 11 minutes ago1.3% Lautaro MartinezUpdated 11 minutes ago0.7% Bruno FernandesUpdated 11 minutes ago0.7% RodrygoUpdated 1 week ago0.1% Cristiano RonaldoUpdated 1 week ago0.1% Dominik SzoboszlaiUpdated 1 week ago0.1% Enzo FernandezUpdated 1 week ago0.1% Bukayo SakaUpdated 1 week ago0.1% RaphinhaUpdated 1 week ago0.1% Desire DoueUpdated 1 week ago0.1% Julian AlvarezUpdated 1 week ago0.1% Federico ValverdeUpdated 1 week ago0.1% Cole PalmerUpdated 1 week ago0.1% PedriUpdated 1 week ago0.1% Mohamed SalahUpdated 1 week ago0.1%

Price history

Recorded probability
Recorded market probability from Sep 6, 00:20 to Sep 9, 11:46 0%25%50%75%100% Sep 6, 00:20Sep 9, 11:46

Up to 400 most recent snapshots in this period. Lines connect recorded points; prices between them may have moved.

View recorded values 32 snapshots
Recorded atProbability
Sep 9, 11:46 UTC0.1%
Sep 9, 10:46 UTC0.1%
Sep 9, 09:45 UTC1.7%
Sep 9, 08:45 UTC1.9%
Sep 9, 07:45 UTC1.8%
Sep 9, 06:45 UTC1.6%
Sep 9, 05:31 UTC1.8%
Sep 9, 04:30 UTC1.7%
Sep 9, 03:30 UTC1.7%
Sep 9, 02:30 UTC1.7%
Sep 9, 01:16 UTC1.7%
Sep 9, 00:15 UTC1.7%
Sep 8, 23:15 UTC1.7%
Sep 8, 22:15 UTC1.5%
Sep 8, 21:04 UTC2.3%
Sep 8, 20:02 UTC1.3%
Sep 8, 19:00 UTC1.0%
Sep 8, 17:31 UTC2.8%
Sep 8, 16:31 UTC3.2%
Sep 8, 15:31 UTC4.4%
Sep 8, 14:30 UTC3.3%
Sep 8, 11:15 UTC4.8%
Sep 8, 10:01 UTC3.3%
Sep 8, 09:01 UTC3.3%
Sep 8, 08:00 UTC3.0%
Sep 8, 06:46 UTC3.2%
Sep 8, 05:46 UTC5.1%
Sep 8, 04:45 UTC3.0%
Sep 8, 03:45 UTC4.7%
Sep 8, 00:46 UTC5.1%
Sep 7, 00:31 UTC3.3%
Sep 6, 00:20 UTC3.1%

What settles this market?

Resolution rules supplied by Polymarket. A price near 100% is not confirmation that an outcome has been settled.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bukayo Saka officially finishes in the top 3 (positions 1 through 3) of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or final ranking. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the 2026 Ballon d'Or is canceled or a final ranking has not been published by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be the official Ballon d'Or announcement (https://www.ballondor.com/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related reporting

Saka Returns to England Training Ahead of World Cup Clash with Ghana23 Jun 2026Carragher: England must not risk Saka but Rice is essential for Ghana clash22 Jun 2026Paper Talk: Former Newcastle owners Amanda Staveley and Mehrdad Ghodoussi plot West Ham takeover, plus Bukayo Saka injury doubt and Thomas Partey handshake dilemma20 Jun 2026Tuchel Confirms Saka Unlikely to Start Against Ghana as England Manage Achilles Injury18 Jun 2026England vs Croatia prediction: Three Lions seek World Cup revenge in 2026 opener17 Jun 2026

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