Will Bukayo Saka finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

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Same event, all outcomes

Lamine YamalUpdated 59 seconds ago98.0% Harry KaneUpdated 59 seconds ago96.7% Kylian MbappéUpdated 59 seconds ago62.0% Lionel MessiUpdated 59 seconds ago29.5% Khvicha KvaratskheliaUpdated 59 seconds ago12.4% RodriUpdated 59 seconds ago11.5% Ousmane DembéléUpdated 59 seconds ago6.0% Michael OliseUpdated 59 seconds ago5.6% Fabian RuizUpdated 59 seconds ago5.6% Erling HaalandUpdated 59 seconds ago3.4% VitinhaUpdated 59 seconds ago2.8% Jude BellinghamUpdated 59 seconds ago2.8% Achraf HakimiUpdated 59 seconds ago2.6% Lautaro MartinezUpdated 59 seconds ago2.5% Pau CubarsiUpdated 59 seconds ago2.3% Luis DiazUpdated 59 seconds ago1.8% Declan RiceUpdated 59 seconds ago1.3% Vinícius JúniorUpdated 59 seconds ago0.8% Bruno FernandesUpdated 59 seconds ago0.3% Cristiano RonaldoUpdated 3 weeks ago0.1% Dominik SzoboszlaiUpdated 3 weeks ago0.1% RodrygoUpdated 3 weeks ago0.1% Enzo FernandezUpdated 3 weeks ago0.1% Bukayo SakaUpdated 3 weeks ago0.1% RaphinhaUpdated 3 weeks ago0.1% Desire DoueUpdated 3 weeks ago0.1% Julian AlvarezUpdated 3 weeks ago0.1% Federico ValverdeUpdated 3 weeks ago0.1% Cole PalmerUpdated 3 weeks ago0.1% PedriUpdated 3 weeks ago0.1% Mohamed SalahUpdated 3 weeks ago0.1%

Price history

Recorded probability

Up to 400 most recent snapshots in this period. Lines connect recorded points; prices between them may have moved.

View recorded values 32 snapshots

Recorded at	Probability
Sep 9, 11:46 UTC	0.1%
Sep 9, 10:46 UTC	0.1%
Sep 9, 09:45 UTC	1.7%
Sep 9, 08:45 UTC	1.9%
Sep 9, 07:45 UTC	1.8%
Sep 9, 06:45 UTC	1.6%
Sep 9, 05:31 UTC	1.8%
Sep 9, 04:30 UTC	1.7%
Sep 9, 03:30 UTC	1.7%
Sep 9, 02:30 UTC	1.7%
Sep 9, 01:16 UTC	1.7%
Sep 9, 00:15 UTC	1.7%
Sep 8, 23:15 UTC	1.7%
Sep 8, 22:15 UTC	1.5%
Sep 8, 21:04 UTC	2.3%
Sep 8, 20:02 UTC	1.3%
Sep 8, 19:00 UTC	1.0%
Sep 8, 17:31 UTC	2.8%
Sep 8, 16:31 UTC	3.2%
Sep 8, 15:31 UTC	4.4%
Sep 8, 14:30 UTC	3.3%
Sep 8, 11:15 UTC	4.8%
Sep 8, 10:01 UTC	3.3%
Sep 8, 09:01 UTC	3.3%
Sep 8, 08:00 UTC	3.0%
Sep 8, 06:46 UTC	3.2%
Sep 8, 05:46 UTC	5.1%
Sep 8, 04:45 UTC	3.0%
Sep 8, 03:45 UTC	4.7%
Sep 8, 00:46 UTC	5.1%
Sep 7, 00:31 UTC	3.3%
Sep 6, 00:20 UTC	3.1%

What settles this market?

Resolution rules supplied by Polymarket. A price near 100% is not confirmation that an outcome has been settled.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bukayo Saka officially finishes in the top 3 (positions 1 through 3) of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or final ranking. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the 2026 Ballon d'Or is canceled or a final ranking has not been published by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be the official Ballon d'Or announcement (https://www.ballondor.com/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.