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Will San Diego FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?

Open market

Same event, all outcomes

Vancouver Whitecaps FCUpdated 9 minutes ago22.0% Nashville SCUpdated 9 minutes ago17.3% Inter Miami CFUpdated 9 minutes ago16.5% Los Angeles FCUpdated 9 minutes ago7.5% Philadelphia UnionUpdated 9 minutes ago6.0% St. Louis City SCUpdated 9 minutes ago5.3% Chicago Fire FCUpdated 9 minutes ago5.3% FC DallasUpdated 9 minutes ago5.1% Houston Dynamo FCUpdated 9 minutes ago3.6% New England RevolutionUpdated 9 minutes ago3.2% Seattle Sounders FCUpdated 9 minutes ago3.2% Charlotte FCUpdated 9 minutes ago3.0% San Jose EarthquakesUpdated 9 minutes ago2.5% Orlando City SCUpdated 9 minutes ago2.3% New York City FCUpdated 9 minutes ago1.2% FC CincinnatiUpdated 9 minutes ago0.8% LA GalaxyUpdated 9 minutes ago0.7% Columbus CrewUpdated 9 minutes ago0.6% Colorado RapidsUpdated 9 minutes ago0.6% San Diego FCUpdated 9 minutes ago0.4% New York Red BullsUpdated 9 minutes ago0.3% Portland TimbersUpdated 9 minutes ago0.3% Minnesota United FCUpdated 9 minutes ago0.2% Real Salt LakeUpdated 9 minutes ago0.1% Austin FCUpdated 9 minutes ago0.1% Toronto FCUpdated 9 minutes ago0.1% Sporting Kansas CityUpdated 9 minutes ago0.1% Atlanta United FCUpdated 9 minutes ago0.1% CF MontréalUpdated 9 minutes ago0.1% D.C. UnitedUpdated 9 minutes ago0.1%

Price history

Recorded probability
Recorded market probability from Sep 6, 00:20 to Sep 29, 03:45 0%25%50%75%100% Sep 6, 00:20Sep 29, 03:45

Up to 400 most recent snapshots in this period. Lines connect recorded points; prices between them may have moved.

View recorded values 360 snapshots
Recorded atProbability
Sep 29, 03:45 UTC0.4%
Sep 29, 02:45 UTC0.4%
Sep 29, 01:45 UTC0.4%
Sep 29, 00:45 UTC0.4%
Sep 28, 23:31 UTC0.4%
Sep 28, 22:31 UTC0.4%
Sep 28, 21:31 UTC0.4%
Sep 28, 20:30 UTC0.4%
Sep 28, 19:16 UTC0.4%
Sep 28, 18:15 UTC0.4%
Sep 28, 17:15 UTC0.4%
Sep 28, 16:01 UTC0.4%
Sep 28, 15:01 UTC0.4%
Sep 28, 14:00 UTC0.4%
Sep 28, 13:00 UTC0.4%
Sep 28, 11:46 UTC0.4%
Sep 28, 10:46 UTC0.4%
Sep 28, 09:45 UTC0.4%
Sep 28, 08:31 UTC0.4%
Sep 28, 07:30 UTC0.4%
Sep 28, 06:16 UTC0.4%
Sep 28, 05:16 UTC0.4%
Sep 28, 04:15 UTC0.4%
Sep 28, 03:01 UTC0.4%
Sep 28, 02:01 UTC0.4%
Sep 28, 01:01 UTC0.4%
Sep 28, 00:00 UTC0.4%
Sep 27, 23:00 UTC0.4%
Sep 27, 22:00 UTC0.4%
Sep 27, 20:46 UTC0.4%
Sep 27, 19:46 UTC0.4%
Sep 27, 18:45 UTC0.4%
Sep 27, 17:45 UTC0.4%
Sep 27, 16:31 UTC0.4%
Sep 27, 15:31 UTC0.4%
Sep 27, 14:31 UTC0.4%
Sep 27, 13:30 UTC0.4%
Sep 27, 12:16 UTC0.4%
Sep 27, 11:16 UTC0.4%
Sep 27, 10:16 UTC0.4%
Sep 27, 09:16 UTC0.4%
Sep 27, 08:15 UTC0.4%
Sep 27, 07:15 UTC0.4%
Sep 27, 06:02 UTC0.4%
Sep 27, 05:01 UTC0.4%
Sep 27, 04:00 UTC0.4%
Sep 27, 02:46 UTC0.4%
Sep 27, 01:46 UTC0.4%
Sep 27, 00:45 UTC0.4%
Sep 26, 23:45 UTC0.4%
Sep 26, 22:45 UTC0.4%
Sep 26, 21:45 UTC0.4%
Sep 26, 20:31 UTC0.4%
Sep 26, 19:31 UTC0.4%
Sep 26, 18:30 UTC0.4%
Sep 26, 17:30 UTC0.4%
Sep 26, 16:16 UTC0.4%
Sep 26, 15:16 UTC0.4%
Sep 26, 14:15 UTC0.4%
Sep 26, 13:15 UTC0.4%
Sep 26, 12:01 UTC0.4%
Sep 26, 11:01 UTC0.4%
Sep 26, 10:01 UTC0.4%
Sep 26, 09:01 UTC0.4%
Sep 26, 08:00 UTC0.4%
Sep 26, 06:46 UTC0.4%
Sep 26, 05:45 UTC0.4%
Sep 26, 04:31 UTC0.4%
Sep 26, 03:31 UTC0.4%
Sep 26, 02:31 UTC0.4%
Sep 26, 01:31 UTC0.4%
Sep 26, 00:31 UTC0.4%
Sep 25, 23:30 UTC0.4%
Sep 25, 22:30 UTC0.4%
Sep 25, 21:30 UTC0.4%
Sep 25, 20:30 UTC0.4%
Sep 25, 19:30 UTC0.4%
Sep 25, 18:16 UTC0.4%
Sep 25, 17:16 UTC0.4%
Sep 25, 16:16 UTC0.4%
Sep 25, 15:16 UTC0.4%
Sep 25, 14:15 UTC0.4%
Sep 25, 13:01 UTC0.4%
Sep 25, 12:01 UTC0.4%
Sep 25, 11:00 UTC0.4%
Sep 25, 10:00 UTC0.4%
Sep 25, 05:01 UTC0.4%
Sep 24, 08:31 UTC0.4%
Sep 24, 07:30 UTC0.4%
Sep 24, 06:30 UTC0.4%
Sep 24, 05:30 UTC0.4%
Sep 24, 04:30 UTC0.4%
Sep 24, 03:30 UTC0.4%
Sep 24, 02:16 UTC0.4%
Sep 24, 01:15 UTC0.4%
Sep 24, 00:01 UTC0.4%
Sep 23, 23:01 UTC0.4%
Sep 23, 22:00 UTC0.4%
Sep 23, 21:00 UTC0.4%
Sep 23, 17:30 UTC0.4%
Sep 23, 16:30 UTC0.4%
Sep 23, 15:16 UTC0.4%
Sep 23, 14:16 UTC0.4%
Sep 23, 13:15 UTC0.4%
Sep 23, 12:01 UTC0.4%
Sep 23, 11:01 UTC0.4%
Sep 23, 10:00 UTC0.4%
Sep 23, 09:00 UTC0.4%
Sep 23, 07:46 UTC0.4%
Sep 23, 06:45 UTC0.4%
Sep 23, 05:31 UTC0.4%
Sep 23, 04:31 UTC0.4%
Sep 23, 03:30 UTC0.4%
Sep 23, 02:30 UTC0.4%
Sep 23, 01:30 UTC0.4%
Sep 23, 00:16 UTC0.4%
Sep 22, 23:15 UTC0.4%
Sep 22, 22:15 UTC0.4%
Sep 22, 21:15 UTC0.4%
Sep 22, 20:01 UTC0.4%
Sep 22, 19:01 UTC0.4%
Sep 22, 18:01 UTC0.4%
Sep 22, 16:46 UTC0.4%
Sep 22, 15:46 UTC0.4%
Sep 22, 14:45 UTC0.4%
Sep 22, 13:31 UTC0.4%
Sep 22, 12:31 UTC0.4%
Sep 22, 11:30 UTC0.4%
Sep 22, 10:30 UTC0.4%
Sep 22, 09:16 UTC0.4%
Sep 22, 08:15 UTC0.4%
Sep 22, 07:15 UTC0.4%
Sep 22, 06:01 UTC0.4%
Sep 22, 05:00 UTC0.4%
Sep 22, 03:46 UTC0.4%
Sep 22, 02:45 UTC0.4%
Sep 22, 01:45 UTC0.4%
Sep 22, 00:31 UTC0.5%
Sep 21, 23:30 UTC0.5%
Sep 21, 22:16 UTC0.5%
Sep 21, 21:16 UTC0.5%
Sep 21, 20:16 UTC0.5%
Sep 21, 19:15 UTC0.5%
Sep 21, 18:02 UTC0.5%
Sep 21, 17:01 UTC0.5%
Sep 21, 16:00 UTC0.5%
Sep 21, 14:46 UTC0.5%
Sep 21, 13:46 UTC0.5%
Sep 21, 12:46 UTC0.5%
Sep 21, 11:45 UTC0.5%
Sep 21, 10:31 UTC0.5%
Sep 21, 09:31 UTC0.5%
Sep 21, 08:31 UTC0.5%
Sep 21, 07:30 UTC0.5%
Sep 21, 06:30 UTC0.5%
Sep 21, 05:30 UTC0.5%
Sep 21, 04:16 UTC0.5%
Sep 21, 03:16 UTC0.5%
Sep 21, 02:16 UTC0.5%
Sep 21, 01:16 UTC0.5%
Sep 21, 00:15 UTC0.5%
Sep 20, 23:01 UTC0.5%
Sep 20, 21:46 UTC0.5%
Sep 20, 20:46 UTC0.5%
Sep 20, 19:45 UTC0.5%
Sep 20, 18:41 UTC0.5%
Sep 20, 17:40 UTC0.5%
Sep 20, 16:33 UTC0.5%
Sep 20, 15:25 UTC0.5%
Sep 20, 14:23 UTC0.5%
Sep 20, 13:18 UTC0.5%
Sep 20, 12:16 UTC0.5%
Sep 20, 11:16 UTC0.5%
Sep 20, 10:15 UTC0.5%
Sep 20, 09:15 UTC0.5%
Sep 20, 08:15 UTC0.5%
Sep 20, 07:01 UTC0.5%
Sep 20, 06:00 UTC0.5%
Sep 20, 04:46 UTC0.5%
Sep 20, 03:46 UTC0.5%
Sep 20, 02:46 UTC0.5%
Sep 20, 01:45 UTC0.5%
Sep 19, 06:02 UTC0.5%
Sep 19, 05:01 UTC0.5%
Sep 19, 04:01 UTC0.5%
Sep 19, 03:00 UTC0.5%
Sep 19, 02:00 UTC0.5%
Sep 19, 00:46 UTC0.5%
Sep 18, 23:45 UTC0.5%
Sep 18, 22:45 UTC0.5%
Sep 18, 10:45 UTC0.5%
Sep 18, 09:30 UTC0.5%
Sep 18, 08:30 UTC0.5%
Sep 18, 07:15 UTC0.5%
Sep 18, 06:01 UTC0.5%
Sep 18, 05:01 UTC0.5%
Sep 18, 04:00 UTC0.5%
Sep 18, 03:00 UTC0.5%
Sep 18, 01:46 UTC0.5%
Sep 18, 00:46 UTC0.5%
Sep 17, 23:46 UTC0.5%
Sep 17, 22:45 UTC0.5%
Sep 17, 21:45 UTC0.5%
Sep 17, 03:01 UTC0.5%
Sep 16, 08:30 UTC0.6%
Sep 16, 07:30 UTC0.6%
Sep 16, 06:16 UTC0.6%
Sep 16, 05:16 UTC0.6%
Sep 16, 04:15 UTC0.6%
Sep 16, 03:01 UTC0.6%
Sep 16, 02:00 UTC0.6%
Sep 16, 00:46 UTC0.6%
Sep 15, 23:46 UTC0.6%
Sep 15, 22:45 UTC0.6%
Sep 15, 16:15 UTC0.6%
Sep 15, 15:15 UTC0.6%
Sep 15, 14:15 UTC0.6%
Sep 15, 13:01 UTC0.6%
Sep 15, 12:01 UTC0.6%
Sep 15, 11:00 UTC0.6%
Sep 15, 10:00 UTC0.6%
Sep 15, 08:46 UTC0.6%
Sep 15, 07:46 UTC0.6%
Sep 15, 06:45 UTC0.6%
Sep 15, 05:45 UTC0.6%
Sep 15, 04:31 UTC0.6%
Sep 15, 03:31 UTC0.7%
Sep 15, 02:31 UTC0.7%
Sep 15, 01:30 UTC0.7%
Sep 15, 00:16 UTC0.7%
Sep 14, 23:16 UTC0.7%
Sep 14, 22:16 UTC0.7%
Sep 14, 21:15 UTC0.7%
Sep 14, 20:01 UTC0.7%
Sep 14, 19:01 UTC0.7%
Sep 14, 18:00 UTC0.7%
Sep 14, 17:00 UTC0.7%
Sep 14, 15:46 UTC0.7%
Sep 14, 14:46 UTC0.7%
Sep 14, 13:45 UTC0.7%
Sep 14, 12:45 UTC0.7%
Sep 14, 11:45 UTC0.7%
Sep 14, 10:31 UTC0.7%
Sep 14, 09:30 UTC0.6%
Sep 14, 08:30 UTC0.7%
Sep 14, 07:30 UTC0.7%
Sep 14, 06:30 UTC0.7%
Sep 14, 05:30 UTC0.7%
Sep 14, 04:30 UTC0.6%
Sep 14, 03:16 UTC0.9%
Sep 14, 02:16 UTC1.0%
Sep 14, 01:15 UTC1.0%
Sep 14, 00:01 UTC1.0%
Sep 13, 23:01 UTC1.0%
Sep 13, 22:00 UTC1.0%
Sep 13, 20:46 UTC1.0%
Sep 13, 19:46 UTC1.0%
Sep 13, 18:46 UTC1.0%
Sep 13, 17:46 UTC1.0%
Sep 13, 16:45 UTC1.0%
Sep 13, 15:45 UTC1.0%
Sep 13, 12:46 UTC1.0%
Sep 13, 11:46 UTC1.0%
Sep 13, 10:46 UTC1.0%
Sep 13, 09:45 UTC1.0%
Sep 13, 08:31 UTC1.0%
Sep 13, 07:31 UTC1.0%
Sep 13, 06:30 UTC1.0%
Sep 13, 05:30 UTC1.0%
Sep 13, 04:30 UTC1.0%
Sep 13, 03:30 UTC1.0%
Sep 13, 02:16 UTC1.0%
Sep 13, 01:16 UTC1.0%
Sep 13, 00:16 UTC1.0%
Sep 12, 23:16 UTC1.0%
Sep 12, 22:15 UTC1.0%
Sep 12, 21:09 UTC1.0%
Sep 12, 20:09 UTC1.0%
Sep 12, 18:18 UTC1.0%
Sep 12, 17:18 UTC1.0%
Sep 12, 16:17 UTC1.0%
Sep 12, 15:14 UTC1.0%
Sep 12, 14:02 UTC1.0%
Sep 12, 13:01 UTC1.0%
Sep 12, 12:00 UTC1.0%
Sep 12, 11:00 UTC1.0%
Sep 12, 09:46 UTC0.9%
Sep 12, 08:45 UTC0.9%
Sep 12, 07:45 UTC0.9%
Sep 12, 00:46 UTC0.9%
Sep 11, 23:46 UTC0.9%
Sep 11, 22:46 UTC0.9%
Sep 11, 21:45 UTC0.9%
Sep 11, 20:31 UTC1.0%
Sep 11, 19:31 UTC1.0%
Sep 11, 18:30 UTC1.0%
Sep 11, 17:16 UTC1.0%
Sep 11, 16:15 UTC1.0%
Sep 11, 15:15 UTC1.0%
Sep 11, 14:01 UTC1.0%
Sep 11, 13:01 UTC1.0%
Sep 11, 12:00 UTC1.0%
Sep 11, 11:00 UTC1.0%
Sep 11, 09:46 UTC1.0%
Sep 11, 08:46 UTC1.0%
Sep 11, 07:46 UTC1.0%
Sep 11, 06:45 UTC1.0%
Sep 11, 05:45 UTC1.0%
Sep 11, 04:31 UTC1.0%
Sep 11, 03:31 UTC1.0%
Sep 11, 02:30 UTC1.0%
Sep 11, 01:16 UTC1.0%
Sep 11, 00:16 UTC1.0%
Sep 10, 23:16 UTC1.0%
Sep 10, 22:16 UTC1.0%
Sep 10, 21:16 UTC1.0%
Sep 10, 20:15 UTC1.0%
Sep 10, 19:01 UTC1.0%
Sep 10, 18:00 UTC1.0%
Sep 10, 16:46 UTC1.0%
Sep 10, 15:46 UTC1.0%
Sep 10, 14:45 UTC1.0%
Sep 10, 13:31 UTC1.0%
Sep 10, 12:31 UTC1.0%
Sep 10, 11:30 UTC1.0%
Sep 10, 10:16 UTC1.0%
Sep 10, 09:16 UTC1.0%
Sep 10, 08:16 UTC1.0%
Sep 10, 07:15 UTC1.0%
Sep 10, 06:15 UTC1.0%
Sep 10, 05:15 UTC1.0%
Sep 10, 04:15 UTC1.0%
Sep 10, 03:01 UTC1.1%
Sep 10, 02:01 UTC1.1%
Sep 10, 01:01 UTC1.1%
Sep 10, 00:00 UTC1.1%
Sep 9, 01:01 UTC1.2%
Sep 8, 00:46 UTC1.2%
Sep 7, 14:46 UTC1.2%
Sep 7, 13:46 UTC1.2%
Sep 7, 12:45 UTC1.2%
Sep 7, 11:45 UTC1.2%
Sep 7, 10:45 UTC1.2%
Sep 7, 09:45 UTC1.2%
Sep 7, 08:45 UTC1.2%
Sep 7, 07:45 UTC1.2%
Sep 7, 06:31 UTC1.2%
Sep 7, 05:31 UTC1.2%
Sep 7, 04:30 UTC1.2%
Sep 7, 03:30 UTC1.2%
Sep 7, 02:30 UTC1.3%
Sep 7, 01:30 UTC1.3%
Sep 7, 00:16 UTC1.3%
Sep 6, 23:15 UTC1.3%
Sep 6, 22:01 UTC1.3%
Sep 6, 21:01 UTC1.3%
Sep 6, 20:00 UTC1.3%
Sep 6, 19:00 UTC1.3%
Sep 6, 05:01 UTC1.3%
Sep 6, 00:20 UTC1.3%

What settles this market?

Resolution rules supplied by Polymarket. A price near 100% is not confirmation that an outcome has been settled.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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