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Will Philadelphia Union win the 2026 MLS Cup?

Open market

Same event, all outcomes

Vancouver Whitecaps FCUpdated 33 seconds ago22.1% Nashville SCUpdated 33 seconds ago17.2% Inter Miami CFUpdated 33 seconds ago16.5% Los Angeles FCUpdated 33 seconds ago7.5% Philadelphia UnionUpdated 33 seconds ago6.1% St. Louis City SCUpdated 33 seconds ago5.3% Chicago Fire FCUpdated 33 seconds ago5.3% FC DallasUpdated 33 seconds ago5.2% Houston Dynamo FCUpdated 33 seconds ago3.6% New England RevolutionUpdated 33 seconds ago3.3% Seattle Sounders FCUpdated 33 seconds ago3.2% Charlotte FCUpdated 33 seconds ago3.0% San Jose EarthquakesUpdated 33 seconds ago2.6% Orlando City SCUpdated 33 seconds ago2.0% New York City FCUpdated 33 seconds ago1.2% Columbus CrewUpdated 33 seconds ago0.8% FC CincinnatiUpdated 33 seconds ago0.8% LA GalaxyUpdated 33 seconds ago0.7% Colorado RapidsUpdated 33 seconds ago0.6% San Diego FCUpdated 33 seconds ago0.4% New York Red BullsUpdated 33 seconds ago0.3% Portland TimbersUpdated 33 seconds ago0.3% Minnesota United FCUpdated 33 seconds ago0.2% Real Salt LakeUpdated 33 seconds ago0.1% Austin FCUpdated 33 seconds ago0.1% Toronto FCUpdated 33 seconds ago0.1% Sporting Kansas CityUpdated 33 seconds ago0.1% Atlanta United FCUpdated 33 seconds ago0.1% CF MontréalUpdated 33 seconds ago0.1% D.C. UnitedUpdated 33 seconds ago0.1%

Price history

Recorded probability
Recorded market probability from Sep 6, 00:20 to Sep 29, 03:45 0%25%50%75%100% Sep 6, 00:20Sep 29, 03:45

Up to 400 most recent snapshots in this period. Lines connect recorded points; prices between them may have moved.

View recorded values 360 snapshots
Recorded atProbability
Sep 29, 03:45 UTC6.1%
Sep 29, 02:45 UTC6.0%
Sep 29, 01:45 UTC6.1%
Sep 29, 00:45 UTC6.3%
Sep 28, 23:31 UTC5.7%
Sep 28, 22:31 UTC5.2%
Sep 28, 21:31 UTC5.7%
Sep 28, 20:30 UTC5.7%
Sep 28, 19:16 UTC5.1%
Sep 28, 18:15 UTC5.3%
Sep 28, 17:15 UTC5.7%
Sep 28, 16:01 UTC5.7%
Sep 28, 15:01 UTC5.7%
Sep 28, 14:00 UTC5.3%
Sep 28, 13:00 UTC5.2%
Sep 28, 11:46 UTC5.2%
Sep 28, 10:46 UTC6.3%
Sep 28, 09:45 UTC5.8%
Sep 28, 08:31 UTC6.2%
Sep 28, 07:30 UTC5.8%
Sep 28, 06:16 UTC5.7%
Sep 28, 05:16 UTC5.8%
Sep 28, 04:15 UTC5.8%
Sep 28, 03:01 UTC5.9%
Sep 28, 02:01 UTC6.0%
Sep 28, 01:01 UTC5.6%
Sep 28, 00:00 UTC5.5%
Sep 27, 23:00 UTC5.9%
Sep 27, 22:00 UTC5.7%
Sep 27, 20:46 UTC5.6%
Sep 27, 19:46 UTC5.5%
Sep 27, 18:45 UTC5.1%
Sep 27, 17:45 UTC4.8%
Sep 27, 16:31 UTC4.8%
Sep 27, 15:31 UTC5.0%
Sep 27, 14:31 UTC5.0%
Sep 27, 13:30 UTC4.9%
Sep 27, 12:16 UTC4.9%
Sep 27, 11:16 UTC5.1%
Sep 27, 10:16 UTC5.1%
Sep 27, 09:16 UTC4.5%
Sep 27, 08:15 UTC4.2%
Sep 27, 07:15 UTC4.9%
Sep 27, 06:02 UTC4.3%
Sep 27, 05:01 UTC4.8%
Sep 27, 04:00 UTC4.6%
Sep 27, 02:46 UTC4.9%
Sep 27, 01:46 UTC4.8%
Sep 27, 00:45 UTC4.4%
Sep 26, 23:45 UTC4.2%
Sep 26, 22:45 UTC4.3%
Sep 26, 21:45 UTC4.1%
Sep 26, 20:31 UTC4.1%
Sep 26, 19:31 UTC4.2%
Sep 26, 18:30 UTC4.1%
Sep 26, 17:30 UTC4.5%
Sep 26, 16:16 UTC4.3%
Sep 26, 15:16 UTC4.2%
Sep 26, 14:15 UTC3.9%
Sep 26, 13:15 UTC4.3%
Sep 26, 12:01 UTC4.1%
Sep 26, 11:01 UTC4.4%
Sep 26, 10:01 UTC4.3%
Sep 26, 09:01 UTC4.1%
Sep 26, 08:00 UTC4.3%
Sep 26, 06:46 UTC4.3%
Sep 26, 05:45 UTC4.2%
Sep 26, 04:31 UTC4.2%
Sep 26, 03:31 UTC3.9%
Sep 26, 02:31 UTC5.6%
Sep 26, 01:31 UTC6.0%
Sep 26, 00:31 UTC6.0%
Sep 25, 23:30 UTC6.0%
Sep 25, 22:30 UTC6.0%
Sep 25, 21:30 UTC6.0%
Sep 25, 20:30 UTC6.0%
Sep 25, 19:30 UTC6.0%
Sep 25, 18:16 UTC6.0%
Sep 25, 17:16 UTC6.0%
Sep 25, 16:16 UTC6.0%
Sep 25, 15:16 UTC6.0%
Sep 25, 14:15 UTC6.0%
Sep 25, 13:01 UTC6.0%
Sep 25, 12:01 UTC6.0%
Sep 25, 11:00 UTC6.0%
Sep 25, 10:00 UTC6.0%
Sep 25, 05:01 UTC6.0%
Sep 24, 08:31 UTC5.5%
Sep 24, 07:30 UTC5.5%
Sep 24, 06:30 UTC5.5%
Sep 24, 05:30 UTC5.5%
Sep 24, 04:30 UTC5.5%
Sep 24, 03:30 UTC5.5%
Sep 24, 02:16 UTC5.5%
Sep 24, 01:15 UTC5.5%
Sep 24, 00:01 UTC5.5%
Sep 23, 23:01 UTC5.5%
Sep 23, 22:00 UTC5.5%
Sep 23, 21:00 UTC5.5%
Sep 23, 17:15 UTC5.5%
Sep 23, 16:15 UTC5.5%
Sep 23, 15:01 UTC5.5%
Sep 23, 14:00 UTC5.5%
Sep 23, 12:46 UTC5.5%
Sep 23, 11:46 UTC5.5%
Sep 23, 10:45 UTC5.5%
Sep 23, 09:31 UTC5.5%
Sep 23, 08:31 UTC5.5%
Sep 23, 07:31 UTC5.5%
Sep 23, 06:31 UTC5.5%
Sep 23, 05:30 UTC5.5%
Sep 23, 04:16 UTC5.5%
Sep 23, 03:15 UTC5.5%
Sep 23, 02:02 UTC5.5%
Sep 23, 01:01 UTC5.5%
Sep 23, 00:01 UTC5.5%
Sep 22, 22:46 UTC5.5%
Sep 22, 21:46 UTC5.5%
Sep 22, 20:45 UTC5.5%
Sep 22, 19:31 UTC5.5%
Sep 22, 18:31 UTC5.6%
Sep 22, 17:31 UTC5.6%
Sep 22, 16:30 UTC5.6%
Sep 22, 15:30 UTC5.7%
Sep 22, 14:30 UTC5.6%
Sep 22, 13:30 UTC5.6%
Sep 22, 12:16 UTC5.6%
Sep 22, 11:16 UTC5.7%
Sep 22, 10:16 UTC5.6%
Sep 22, 09:15 UTC5.7%
Sep 22, 08:01 UTC5.7%
Sep 22, 07:00 UTC5.7%
Sep 22, 05:46 UTC5.6%
Sep 22, 04:46 UTC5.5%
Sep 22, 03:45 UTC5.8%
Sep 22, 02:45 UTC5.6%
Sep 22, 01:45 UTC5.6%
Sep 22, 00:31 UTC5.6%
Sep 21, 23:30 UTC5.8%
Sep 21, 22:16 UTC5.6%
Sep 21, 21:16 UTC5.6%
Sep 21, 20:16 UTC5.7%
Sep 21, 19:15 UTC5.6%
Sep 21, 18:02 UTC5.6%
Sep 21, 17:01 UTC5.6%
Sep 21, 16:00 UTC5.6%
Sep 21, 14:46 UTC5.6%
Sep 21, 13:46 UTC5.8%
Sep 21, 12:46 UTC6.0%
Sep 21, 11:45 UTC6.0%
Sep 21, 10:31 UTC5.5%
Sep 21, 09:31 UTC5.5%
Sep 21, 08:31 UTC5.5%
Sep 21, 07:30 UTC5.4%
Sep 21, 06:30 UTC5.6%
Sep 21, 05:30 UTC5.6%
Sep 21, 04:16 UTC5.8%
Sep 21, 03:16 UTC5.9%
Sep 21, 02:16 UTC6.0%
Sep 21, 01:16 UTC6.1%
Sep 21, 00:15 UTC6.0%
Sep 20, 23:01 UTC6.2%
Sep 20, 21:46 UTC6.0%
Sep 20, 20:46 UTC5.5%
Sep 20, 19:45 UTC4.4%
Sep 20, 18:41 UTC4.5%
Sep 20, 17:40 UTC4.4%
Sep 20, 16:33 UTC4.5%
Sep 20, 15:25 UTC4.9%
Sep 20, 14:23 UTC4.9%
Sep 20, 13:18 UTC4.7%
Sep 20, 12:16 UTC4.1%
Sep 20, 11:16 UTC4.0%
Sep 20, 10:15 UTC4.1%
Sep 20, 09:15 UTC4.1%
Sep 20, 08:15 UTC4.6%
Sep 20, 07:01 UTC4.5%
Sep 20, 06:00 UTC4.5%
Sep 20, 04:46 UTC4.1%
Sep 20, 03:46 UTC3.5%
Sep 20, 02:46 UTC3.3%
Sep 20, 01:45 UTC3.2%
Sep 19, 06:02 UTC3.4%
Sep 19, 05:01 UTC3.4%
Sep 19, 04:01 UTC3.4%
Sep 19, 03:00 UTC2.9%
Sep 19, 02:00 UTC3.0%
Sep 19, 00:46 UTC3.2%
Sep 18, 23:45 UTC3.1%
Sep 18, 22:45 UTC2.9%
Sep 18, 10:45 UTC3.0%
Sep 18, 09:30 UTC2.7%
Sep 18, 08:30 UTC2.6%
Sep 18, 07:15 UTC2.7%
Sep 18, 06:01 UTC2.6%
Sep 18, 05:01 UTC2.8%
Sep 18, 04:00 UTC2.8%
Sep 18, 03:00 UTC2.7%
Sep 18, 01:46 UTC2.8%
Sep 18, 00:46 UTC2.8%
Sep 17, 23:46 UTC2.7%
Sep 17, 22:45 UTC2.7%
Sep 17, 21:45 UTC3.3%
Sep 17, 03:01 UTC3.2%
Sep 16, 08:30 UTC2.9%
Sep 16, 07:30 UTC2.8%
Sep 16, 06:16 UTC2.9%
Sep 16, 05:16 UTC2.5%
Sep 16, 04:15 UTC2.3%
Sep 16, 03:01 UTC2.8%
Sep 16, 02:00 UTC3.2%
Sep 16, 00:46 UTC3.2%
Sep 15, 23:46 UTC3.2%
Sep 15, 22:45 UTC3.2%
Sep 15, 16:15 UTC3.8%
Sep 15, 15:15 UTC3.1%
Sep 15, 14:15 UTC3.1%
Sep 15, 13:01 UTC3.1%
Sep 15, 12:01 UTC3.2%
Sep 15, 11:00 UTC3.1%
Sep 15, 10:00 UTC3.1%
Sep 15, 08:46 UTC3.1%
Sep 15, 07:46 UTC3.2%
Sep 15, 06:45 UTC3.2%
Sep 15, 05:45 UTC3.2%
Sep 15, 04:45 UTC3.1%
Sep 15, 03:45 UTC3.1%
Sep 15, 02:45 UTC3.2%
Sep 15, 01:31 UTC3.1%
Sep 15, 00:31 UTC3.1%
Sep 14, 23:30 UTC3.1%
Sep 14, 22:30 UTC3.2%
Sep 14, 21:16 UTC3.3%
Sep 14, 20:16 UTC4.0%
Sep 14, 19:15 UTC3.9%
Sep 14, 18:02 UTC4.0%
Sep 14, 17:01 UTC4.1%
Sep 14, 16:00 UTC4.3%
Sep 14, 15:00 UTC4.0%
Sep 14, 13:46 UTC4.4%
Sep 14, 12:45 UTC4.1%
Sep 14, 11:45 UTC3.9%
Sep 14, 10:31 UTC5.0%
Sep 14, 09:30 UTC5.0%
Sep 14, 08:30 UTC4.8%
Sep 14, 07:30 UTC4.7%
Sep 14, 06:30 UTC4.2%
Sep 14, 05:30 UTC4.8%
Sep 14, 04:30 UTC5.1%
Sep 14, 03:16 UTC4.4%
Sep 14, 02:16 UTC2.8%
Sep 14, 01:15 UTC2.3%
Sep 14, 00:01 UTC2.3%
Sep 13, 23:01 UTC2.3%
Sep 13, 22:00 UTC2.1%
Sep 13, 20:46 UTC2.2%
Sep 13, 19:46 UTC2.1%
Sep 13, 18:46 UTC2.1%
Sep 13, 17:46 UTC2.2%
Sep 13, 16:45 UTC2.2%
Sep 13, 15:45 UTC2.2%
Sep 13, 12:46 UTC1.9%
Sep 13, 11:46 UTC2.1%
Sep 13, 10:46 UTC2.2%
Sep 13, 09:45 UTC2.2%
Sep 13, 08:31 UTC2.0%
Sep 13, 07:31 UTC2.0%
Sep 13, 06:31 UTC2.0%
Sep 13, 05:31 UTC1.9%
Sep 13, 04:31 UTC2.0%
Sep 13, 03:31 UTC1.9%
Sep 13, 02:31 UTC1.9%
Sep 13, 01:30 UTC2.7%
Sep 13, 00:30 UTC1.9%
Sep 12, 23:16 UTC1.8%
Sep 12, 22:15 UTC1.8%
Sep 12, 21:09 UTC2.1%
Sep 12, 20:09 UTC2.1%
Sep 12, 18:18 UTC1.6%
Sep 12, 17:18 UTC1.6%
Sep 12, 16:17 UTC1.5%
Sep 12, 15:14 UTC1.6%
Sep 12, 14:02 UTC1.6%
Sep 12, 13:01 UTC1.6%
Sep 12, 12:00 UTC1.6%
Sep 12, 11:00 UTC1.6%
Sep 12, 09:46 UTC1.6%
Sep 12, 08:45 UTC1.5%
Sep 12, 07:45 UTC1.6%
Sep 12, 00:46 UTC1.6%
Sep 11, 23:46 UTC1.6%
Sep 11, 22:46 UTC1.7%
Sep 11, 21:45 UTC1.7%
Sep 11, 20:31 UTC1.3%
Sep 11, 19:31 UTC1.3%
Sep 11, 18:30 UTC1.3%
Sep 11, 17:16 UTC1.3%
Sep 11, 16:15 UTC1.3%
Sep 11, 15:15 UTC1.3%
Sep 11, 14:01 UTC1.2%
Sep 11, 13:01 UTC1.1%
Sep 11, 12:00 UTC1.1%
Sep 11, 11:00 UTC1.1%
Sep 11, 09:46 UTC1.1%
Sep 11, 08:46 UTC1.1%
Sep 11, 07:46 UTC1.0%
Sep 11, 06:45 UTC0.9%
Sep 11, 05:45 UTC0.9%
Sep 11, 04:31 UTC0.9%
Sep 11, 03:31 UTC0.9%
Sep 11, 02:30 UTC0.9%
Sep 11, 01:16 UTC0.9%
Sep 11, 00:16 UTC0.9%
Sep 10, 23:16 UTC0.8%
Sep 10, 22:16 UTC0.8%
Sep 10, 21:16 UTC0.8%
Sep 10, 20:15 UTC0.8%
Sep 10, 19:01 UTC0.8%
Sep 10, 18:00 UTC0.8%
Sep 10, 16:46 UTC0.8%
Sep 10, 15:46 UTC0.8%
Sep 10, 14:45 UTC0.8%
Sep 10, 13:31 UTC0.8%
Sep 10, 12:31 UTC0.8%
Sep 10, 11:30 UTC0.8%
Sep 10, 10:16 UTC0.8%
Sep 10, 09:16 UTC0.8%
Sep 10, 08:16 UTC0.8%
Sep 10, 07:15 UTC0.8%
Sep 10, 06:15 UTC0.8%
Sep 10, 05:15 UTC0.8%
Sep 10, 04:15 UTC0.8%
Sep 10, 03:01 UTC0.8%
Sep 10, 02:01 UTC0.8%
Sep 10, 01:01 UTC0.8%
Sep 10, 00:00 UTC0.8%
Sep 9, 01:01 UTC0.9%
Sep 8, 00:46 UTC0.8%
Sep 7, 14:46 UTC0.8%
Sep 7, 13:46 UTC0.8%
Sep 7, 12:45 UTC0.8%
Sep 7, 11:45 UTC0.8%
Sep 7, 10:45 UTC0.8%
Sep 7, 09:45 UTC0.8%
Sep 7, 08:45 UTC0.8%
Sep 7, 07:45 UTC0.8%
Sep 7, 06:31 UTC0.8%
Sep 7, 05:31 UTC0.8%
Sep 7, 04:30 UTC0.8%
Sep 7, 03:30 UTC0.8%
Sep 7, 02:30 UTC0.8%
Sep 7, 01:30 UTC0.8%
Sep 7, 00:16 UTC0.8%
Sep 6, 23:15 UTC0.8%
Sep 6, 22:01 UTC0.8%
Sep 6, 21:01 UTC0.8%
Sep 6, 20:00 UTC0.8%
Sep 6, 19:00 UTC0.8%
Sep 6, 05:01 UTC0.8%
Sep 6, 00:20 UTC0.8%

What settles this market?

Resolution rules supplied by Polymarket. A price near 100% is not confirmation that an outcome has been settled.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related reporting

Philadelphia Union Supporters Demand Transparency as Sporting Director Tanner Suspended Amid MLS Investigation12 Apr 2026MLS bans Union sporting director Ernst Tanner without pay after misconduct probe12 Apr 2026

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