Will Napoli reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League semifinal?

Open market

Same event, all outcomes

Real MadridUpdated 20 hours ago48.0% ArsenalUpdated 20 hours ago46.5% Bayern MunichUpdated 20 hours ago45.5% BarcelonaUpdated 20 hours ago45.5% Paris Saint-GermainUpdated 20 hours ago37.0% Manchester CityUpdated 20 hours ago35.0% Inter MilanUpdated 20 hours ago22.0% LiverpoolUpdated 20 hours ago16.0% ComoUpdated 20 hours ago13.0% Borussia DortmundUpdated 20 hours ago12.0% Real BetisUpdated 20 hours ago10.7% Manchester UnitedUpdated 20 hours ago10.5% Atlético MadridUpdated 20 hours ago9.5% RB LeipzigUpdated 20 hours ago9.0% RomaUpdated 20 hours ago9.0% Sporting CPUpdated 20 hours ago7.5% PortoUpdated 20 hours ago7.5% Aston VillaUpdated 20 hours ago7.5% FenerbahçeUpdated 20 hours ago7.5% NapoliUpdated 20 hours ago7.0% PSV EindhovenUpdated 20 hours ago7.0% VfB StuttgartUpdated 20 hours ago6.0% VillarrealUpdated 20 hours ago5.5% GalatasarayUpdated 20 hours ago4.3% LensUpdated 20 hours ago4.0% Slavia PragueUpdated 20 hours ago3.8% Club BruggeUpdated 20 hours ago3.7% Shakhtar DonetskUpdated 20 hours ago3.5% LilleUpdated 20 hours ago3.3% AEK AthensUpdated 20 hours ago3.2% Bodø/GlimtUpdated 20 hours ago3.0% FeyenoordUpdated 20 hours ago2.9% LASKUpdated 20 hours ago2.8% VikingUpdated 20 hours ago2.6% SabahUpdated 20 hours ago1.6% Slovan BratislavaUpdated 20 hours ago1.2%

Price history

Recorded probability

Up to 400 most recent snapshots in this period. Lines connect recorded points; prices between them may have moved.

View recorded values 40 snapshots

Recorded at	Probability
Sep 20, 03:46 UTC	7.0%
Sep 19, 03:31 UTC	7.5%
Sep 17, 03:01 UTC	8.5%
Sep 16, 02:46 UTC	8.5%
Sep 15, 02:31 UTC	9.0%
Sep 14, 02:16 UTC	7.5%
Sep 13, 02:01 UTC	8.5%
Sep 12, 01:46 UTC	7.5%
Sep 11, 13:45 UTC	5.0%
Sep 11, 12:45 UTC	5.0%
Sep 11, 11:45 UTC	5.0%
Sep 11, 10:31 UTC	5.0%
Sep 11, 09:31 UTC	5.0%
Sep 11, 08:30 UTC	5.0%
Sep 11, 07:30 UTC	5.0%
Sep 11, 06:30 UTC	5.5%
Sep 11, 05:30 UTC	6.0%
Sep 11, 04:16 UTC	5.0%
Sep 11, 03:16 UTC	6.0%
Sep 11, 02:16 UTC	6.0%
Sep 11, 01:15 UTC	6.5%
Sep 11, 00:01 UTC	6.5%
Sep 10, 23:01 UTC	6.5%
Sep 10, 22:00 UTC	6.5%
Sep 10, 20:46 UTC	6.5%
Sep 10, 19:45 UTC	6.5%
Sep 10, 18:31 UTC	11.0%
Sep 10, 17:30 UTC	11.0%
Sep 10, 16:16 UTC	11.5%
Sep 10, 15:16 UTC	18.5%
Sep 10, 14:16 UTC	21.0%
Sep 10, 13:16 UTC	22.5%
Sep 10, 12:15 UTC	24.0%
Sep 10, 11:15 UTC	23.5%
Sep 10, 10:01 UTC	24.0%
Sep 10, 09:01 UTC	24.0%
Sep 10, 08:00 UTC	24.0%
Sep 10, 07:00 UTC	25.0%
Sep 9, 01:01 UTC	50.0%
Sep 7, 00:31 UTC	50.0%

What settles this market?

Resolution rules supplied by Polymarket. A price near 100% is not confirmation that an outcome has been settled.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2027 UEFA Champions League semifinal. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Champions League semifinal (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2027 UEFA Champions League is cancelled, postponed after May 20, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or the 2027 UEFA Champions League semifinal matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.