Will Bayern Munich reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League semifinal?

Open market

Same event, all outcomes

Real MadridUpdated 19 hours ago48.0% ArsenalUpdated 19 hours ago46.5% Bayern MunichUpdated 19 hours ago45.5% BarcelonaUpdated 19 hours ago45.5% Paris Saint-GermainUpdated 19 hours ago37.0% Manchester CityUpdated 19 hours ago35.0% Inter MilanUpdated 19 hours ago22.0% LiverpoolUpdated 19 hours ago16.0% ComoUpdated 19 hours ago13.0% Borussia DortmundUpdated 19 hours ago12.0% Real BetisUpdated 19 hours ago10.7% Manchester UnitedUpdated 19 hours ago10.5% Atlético MadridUpdated 19 hours ago9.5% RB LeipzigUpdated 19 hours ago9.0% RomaUpdated 19 hours ago9.0% Sporting CPUpdated 19 hours ago7.5% PortoUpdated 19 hours ago7.5% Aston VillaUpdated 19 hours ago7.5% FenerbahçeUpdated 19 hours ago7.5% NapoliUpdated 19 hours ago7.0% PSV EindhovenUpdated 19 hours ago7.0% VfB StuttgartUpdated 19 hours ago6.0% VillarrealUpdated 19 hours ago5.5% GalatasarayUpdated 19 hours ago4.3% LensUpdated 19 hours ago4.0% Slavia PragueUpdated 19 hours ago3.8% Club BruggeUpdated 19 hours ago3.7% Shakhtar DonetskUpdated 19 hours ago3.5% LilleUpdated 19 hours ago3.3% AEK AthensUpdated 19 hours ago3.2% Bodø/GlimtUpdated 19 hours ago3.0% FeyenoordUpdated 19 hours ago2.9% LASKUpdated 19 hours ago2.8% VikingUpdated 19 hours ago2.6% SabahUpdated 19 hours ago1.6% Slovan BratislavaUpdated 19 hours ago1.2%

Price history

Recorded probability

Up to 400 most recent snapshots in this period. Lines connect recorded points; prices between them may have moved.

View recorded values 40 snapshots

Recorded at	Probability
Sep 20, 03:46 UTC	45.5%
Sep 19, 03:31 UTC	46.0%
Sep 17, 03:01 UTC	46.0%
Sep 16, 02:46 UTC	46.0%
Sep 15, 02:31 UTC	46.5%
Sep 14, 02:16 UTC	46.0%
Sep 13, 02:01 UTC	45.5%
Sep 12, 01:46 UTC	45.5%
Sep 11, 14:00 UTC	45.5%
Sep 11, 12:46 UTC	45.5%
Sep 11, 11:45 UTC	45.5%
Sep 11, 10:31 UTC	45.5%
Sep 11, 09:31 UTC	45.5%
Sep 11, 08:30 UTC	45.5%
Sep 11, 07:30 UTC	45.5%
Sep 11, 06:30 UTC	45.5%
Sep 11, 05:30 UTC	45.5%
Sep 11, 04:16 UTC	45.5%
Sep 11, 03:16 UTC	45.5%
Sep 11, 02:16 UTC	45.5%
Sep 11, 01:15 UTC	45.5%
Sep 11, 00:01 UTC	45.5%
Sep 10, 23:01 UTC	45.5%
Sep 10, 22:00 UTC	45.5%
Sep 10, 20:46 UTC	45.0%
Sep 10, 19:45 UTC	45.0%
Sep 10, 18:31 UTC	45.5%
Sep 10, 17:30 UTC	45.5%
Sep 10, 16:16 UTC	45.5%
Sep 10, 15:16 UTC	46.5%
Sep 10, 14:16 UTC	48.5%
Sep 10, 13:16 UTC	55.5%
Sep 10, 12:15 UTC	60.5%
Sep 10, 11:15 UTC	49.0%
Sep 10, 10:01 UTC	47.5%
Sep 10, 09:01 UTC	43.5%
Sep 10, 08:00 UTC	39.0%
Sep 10, 07:00 UTC	21.0%
Sep 9, 01:01 UTC	54.0%
Sep 7, 00:31 UTC	56.5%

What settles this market?

Resolution rules supplied by Polymarket. A price near 100% is not confirmation that an outcome has been settled.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2027 UEFA Champions League semifinal. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Champions League semifinal (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2027 UEFA Champions League is cancelled, postponed after May 20, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or the 2027 UEFA Champions League semifinal matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.