Will Bayern Munich finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Bundesliga season?

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Same event, all outcomes

Bayern MunichUpdated 19 hours ago98.0% Borussia DortmundUpdated 19 hours ago81.5% RB LeipzigUpdated 19 hours ago69.0% Bayer LeverkusenUpdated 19 hours ago59.5% SV ElversbergUpdated 19 hours ago49.3% VfB StuttgartUpdated 19 hours ago21.0% SC FreiburgUpdated 19 hours ago19.0% Eintracht FrankfurtUpdated 19 hours ago16.5% Mainz 05Updated 19 hours ago14.0% Werder BremenUpdated 19 hours ago14.0% 1. FC KölnUpdated 19 hours ago13.0% Borussia MönchengladbachUpdated 19 hours ago13.0% FC AugsburgUpdated 19 hours ago12.6% TSG HoffenheimUpdated 19 hours ago12.0% Union BerlinUpdated 19 hours ago5.5% Schalke 04Updated 19 hours ago3.7% SC PaderbornUpdated 19 hours ago3.0% Hamburger SVUpdated 19 hours ago1.0%

Price history

Recorded probability

Up to 400 most recent snapshots in this period. Lines connect recorded points; prices between them may have moved.

View recorded values 34 snapshots

Recorded at	Probability
Sep 20, 03:46 UTC	98.0%
Sep 19, 03:31 UTC	98.0%
Sep 18, 03:16 UTC	97.5%
Sep 17, 03:01 UTC	97.5%
Sep 16, 02:46 UTC	97.5%
Sep 15, 02:31 UTC	97.0%
Sep 14, 02:17 UTC	98.5%
Sep 13, 02:01 UTC	97.5%
Sep 12, 01:46 UTC	97.0%
Sep 11, 03:31 UTC	97.0%
Sep 11, 02:30 UTC	97.0%
Sep 11, 01:16 UTC	97.0%
Sep 11, 00:16 UTC	97.0%
Sep 10, 23:16 UTC	97.0%
Sep 10, 22:16 UTC	97.0%
Sep 10, 21:16 UTC	97.0%
Sep 10, 20:15 UTC	97.0%
Sep 10, 19:01 UTC	97.0%
Sep 10, 18:00 UTC	97.0%
Sep 10, 17:00 UTC	97.0%
Sep 10, 15:46 UTC	97.0%
Sep 10, 14:45 UTC	97.0%
Sep 10, 13:31 UTC	97.0%
Sep 10, 12:31 UTC	97.0%
Sep 10, 11:30 UTC	97.0%
Sep 10, 10:16 UTC	97.0%
Sep 10, 09:16 UTC	97.0%
Sep 10, 08:16 UTC	97.0%
Sep 10, 07:15 UTC	97.0%
Sep 10, 06:15 UTC	92.5%
Sep 10, 05:15 UTC	92.5%
Sep 10, 04:15 UTC	93.0%
Sep 10, 01:16 UTC	93.5%
Sep 6, 00:21 UTC	95.0%

What settles this market?

Resolution rules supplied by Polymarket. A price near 100% is not confirmation that an outcome has been settled.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club finishes in the top 4 (positions 1 through 4) of the final standings of the 2026-27 Bundesliga season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Bundesliga season (e.g., they are mathematically unable to achieve enough points), this market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie for the final top-4 position, this market will resolve based on the clubs officially recognized by the Bundesliga as finishing in the top 4 of the final standings. If the 2026-27 Bundesliga season is cancelled, postponed after June 5, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there are otherwise no final standings declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from the Bundesliga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.