Will Bayern Munich be relegated from the 2026-27 Bundesliga?

Open market

Same event, all outcomes

SC PaderbornUpdated 18 hours ago60.5% Union BerlinUpdated 18 hours ago38.5% Hamburger SVUpdated 18 hours ago33.5% Borussia MönchengladbachUpdated 18 hours ago32.5% 1. FC KölnUpdated 18 hours ago25.5% FC Schalke 04Updated 18 hours ago25.0% FC AugsburgUpdated 18 hours ago21.0% Werder BremenUpdated 18 hours ago20.5% SV ElversbergUpdated 18 hours ago16.5% Mainz 05Updated 18 hours ago10.5% TSG HoffenheimUpdated 18 hours ago8.0% Eintracht FrankfurtUpdated 18 hours ago7.0% VfB StuttgartUpdated 18 hours ago3.8% Bayer LeverkusenUpdated 18 hours ago3.3% Borussia DortmundUpdated 18 hours ago2.9% Bayern MunichUpdated 18 hours ago2.8% RB LeipzigUpdated 18 hours ago2.5% SC FreiburgUpdated 18 hours ago2.5%

Price history

Recorded probability

Up to 400 most recent snapshots in this period. Lines connect recorded points; prices between them may have moved.

View recorded values 42 snapshots

Recorded at	Probability
Sep 20, 03:46 UTC	2.8%
Sep 19, 03:31 UTC	2.8%
Sep 18, 03:16 UTC	2.8%
Sep 17, 03:01 UTC	2.8%
Sep 16, 02:01 UTC	2.8%
Sep 16, 01:01 UTC	2.8%
Sep 16, 00:00 UTC	2.8%
Sep 15, 23:00 UTC	2.8%
Sep 15, 07:46 UTC	2.8%
Sep 15, 06:45 UTC	2.8%
Sep 15, 05:45 UTC	2.8%
Sep 15, 04:45 UTC	2.8%
Sep 15, 03:45 UTC	2.8%
Sep 15, 02:31 UTC	2.8%
Sep 14, 02:16 UTC	7.1%
Sep 13, 02:01 UTC	6.9%
Sep 12, 01:46 UTC	2.4%
Sep 11, 06:16 UTC	3.4%
Sep 11, 05:16 UTC	3.2%
Sep 11, 04:16 UTC	3.4%
Sep 11, 03:16 UTC	4.0%
Sep 11, 02:16 UTC	3.3%
Sep 11, 01:15 UTC	4.0%
Sep 11, 00:01 UTC	3.2%
Sep 10, 23:01 UTC	1.9%
Sep 10, 22:00 UTC	3.9%
Sep 10, 20:46 UTC	2.8%
Sep 10, 19:45 UTC	3.2%
Sep 10, 18:31 UTC	3.5%
Sep 10, 17:15 UTC	4.1%
Sep 10, 16:02 UTC	3.5%
Sep 10, 15:01 UTC	3.7%
Sep 10, 14:01 UTC	4.1%
Sep 10, 13:01 UTC	3.3%
Sep 10, 12:00 UTC	3.1%
Sep 10, 11:00 UTC	4.0%
Sep 10, 09:46 UTC	3.7%
Sep 10, 08:45 UTC	3.6%
Sep 10, 07:45 UTC	3.9%
Sep 10, 06:31 UTC	3.5%
Sep 10, 05:31 UTC	4.1%
Sep 10, 04:30 UTC	6.0%

What settles this market?

Resolution rules supplied by Polymarket. A price near 100% is not confirmation that an outcome has been settled.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is relegated from Bundesliga at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Bundesliga season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in Bundesliga for the following season through their final standing in the 2026-27 Bundesliga, via relegation playoff defeat, or by any other official league decision recognized by Bundesliga. If the 2026-27 Bundesliga season is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for relegation within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Bundesliga. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.