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Will Sam Surridge win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot?

Open market

Same event, all outcomes

Lionel MessiUpdated 12 minutes ago67.4% Petar MusaUpdated 12 minutes ago18.9% Sam SurridgeUpdated 12 minutes ago2.5% Brian WhiteUpdated 12 minutes ago1.9% Kévin DenkeyUpdated 12 minutes ago0.9% Denis BouangaUpdated 12 minutes ago0.8% Tai BariboUpdated 12 minutes ago0.8% Prince-Osei OwusuUpdated 12 minutes ago0.2% Dejan JoveljićUpdated 12 minutes ago0.2% Eric Maxim Choupo-MotingUpdated 12 minutes ago0.2% EvanderUpdated 12 minutes ago0.2% Germán BerterameUpdated 12 minutes ago0.2% Louis MunteanuUpdated 12 minutes ago0.1% Marco PašalićUpdated 12 minutes ago0.1% Idan ToklomatiUpdated 12 minutes ago0.1% Albert RusnákUpdated 12 minutes ago0.1% Cheikh SabalyUpdated 12 minutes ago0.1% Milan IloskiUpdated 12 minutes ago0.1% Djordje MihailovicUpdated 12 minutes ago0.1% Philip ZinckernagelUpdated 12 minutes ago0.1% Martín OjedaUpdated 12 minutes ago0.1% Diego RossiUpdated 12 minutes ago0.1% Danny MusovskiUpdated 12 minutes ago0.1% Hany MukhtarUpdated 12 minutes ago0.1% Hugo CuypersUpdated 12 minutes ago0.1% Alonso MartínezUpdated 12 minutes ago0.1% Tadeo AllendeUpdated 12 minutes ago0.1% Anders DreyerUpdated 12 minutes ago0.1%

Price history

Recorded probability
Recorded market probability from Sep 6, 00:21 to Sep 21, 20:30 0%25%50%75%100% Sep 6, 00:21Sep 21, 20:30

Up to 400 most recent snapshots in this period. Lines connect recorded points; prices between them may have moved.

View recorded values 113 snapshots
Recorded atProbability
Sep 21, 20:30 UTC2.5%
Sep 21, 19:16 UTC2.6%
Sep 21, 18:15 UTC2.6%
Sep 21, 17:15 UTC2.7%
Sep 21, 16:01 UTC2.7%
Sep 21, 15:01 UTC2.7%
Sep 21, 14:00 UTC2.9%
Sep 21, 13:00 UTC3.1%
Sep 21, 11:46 UTC3.2%
Sep 21, 10:46 UTC3.3%
Sep 21, 09:45 UTC3.4%
Sep 21, 08:45 UTC6.4%
Sep 21, 07:31 UTC9.6%
Sep 21, 06:30 UTC1.2%
Sep 21, 05:30 UTC1.2%
Sep 21, 04:30 UTC1.3%
Sep 21, 03:30 UTC1.2%
Sep 21, 02:16 UTC3.0%
Sep 21, 01:16 UTC2.7%
Sep 21, 00:15 UTC2.8%
Sep 20, 23:01 UTC2.6%
Sep 20, 22:01 UTC2.7%
Sep 20, 21:00 UTC2.7%
Sep 20, 07:30 UTC8.1%
Sep 20, 06:30 UTC15.9%
Sep 20, 03:46 UTC0.9%
Sep 19, 03:31 UTC0.7%
Sep 18, 03:16 UTC0.2%
Sep 17, 03:01 UTC1.8%
Sep 16, 07:16 UTC1.4%
Sep 16, 06:15 UTC1.6%
Sep 16, 05:15 UTC1.8%
Sep 16, 04:15 UTC1.9%
Sep 16, 03:01 UTC1.6%
Sep 16, 02:01 UTC1.7%
Sep 16, 01:01 UTC1.6%
Sep 16, 00:00 UTC1.2%
Sep 15, 22:46 UTC1.5%
Sep 15, 21:46 UTC1.7%
Sep 15, 20:45 UTC1.8%
Sep 15, 19:31 UTC1.4%
Sep 15, 18:31 UTC1.6%
Sep 15, 17:30 UTC1.7%
Sep 15, 16:16 UTC1.8%
Sep 15, 15:16 UTC1.9%
Sep 15, 14:16 UTC1.5%
Sep 15, 13:15 UTC1.7%
Sep 15, 12:15 UTC1.9%
Sep 15, 11:01 UTC1.5%
Sep 15, 10:01 UTC1.5%
Sep 15, 09:00 UTC1.7%
Sep 15, 08:00 UTC1.8%
Sep 15, 02:31 UTC1.5%
Sep 14, 07:31 UTC1.7%
Sep 14, 06:31 UTC1.9%
Sep 14, 05:31 UTC2.4%
Sep 14, 04:31 UTC2.4%
Sep 14, 03:31 UTC2.0%
Sep 14, 02:30 UTC2.5%
Sep 14, 01:16 UTC3.0%
Sep 14, 00:16 UTC2.3%
Sep 13, 23:16 UTC2.3%
Sep 13, 22:16 UTC2.4%
Sep 13, 21:15 UTC2.3%
Sep 13, 09:16 UTC0.5%
Sep 13, 08:15 UTC1.2%
Sep 13, 07:15 UTC1.2%
Sep 13, 02:01 UTC1.8%
Sep 12, 01:46 UTC1.8%
Sep 11, 01:31 UTC1.3%
Sep 10, 23:16 UTC1.3%
Sep 10, 22:16 UTC1.4%
Sep 10, 21:16 UTC2.0%
Sep 10, 20:15 UTC0.9%
Sep 10, 19:01 UTC0.9%
Sep 10, 18:00 UTC0.9%
Sep 10, 17:00 UTC0.9%
Sep 10, 15:46 UTC0.9%
Sep 10, 14:45 UTC1.7%
Sep 10, 13:31 UTC0.7%
Sep 10, 12:31 UTC0.7%
Sep 10, 11:30 UTC0.7%
Sep 10, 10:16 UTC1.0%
Sep 10, 09:16 UTC0.7%
Sep 10, 08:16 UTC0.7%
Sep 10, 07:15 UTC0.7%
Sep 10, 06:01 UTC0.7%
Sep 10, 05:01 UTC0.7%
Sep 10, 04:01 UTC0.7%
Sep 10, 03:00 UTC0.7%
Sep 10, 02:00 UTC0.7%
Sep 10, 01:00 UTC0.7%
Sep 9, 01:01 UTC2.0%
Sep 8, 00:46 UTC2.3%
Sep 7, 08:16 UTC0.9%
Sep 7, 07:16 UTC0.8%
Sep 7, 06:16 UTC0.8%
Sep 7, 05:15 UTC0.9%
Sep 7, 04:01 UTC1.0%
Sep 7, 03:01 UTC0.9%
Sep 7, 02:00 UTC0.9%
Sep 7, 00:46 UTC0.8%
Sep 6, 23:46 UTC0.9%
Sep 6, 22:45 UTC1.4%
Sep 6, 21:45 UTC1.5%
Sep 6, 20:31 UTC1.5%
Sep 6, 19:30 UTC1.0%
Sep 6, 18:30 UTC1.6%
Sep 6, 09:45 UTC4.3%
Sep 6, 08:45 UTC4.5%
Sep 6, 07:45 UTC5.2%
Sep 6, 06:45 UTC5.9%
Sep 6, 00:21 UTC8.7%

What settles this market?

Resolution rules supplied by Polymarket. A price near 100% is not confirmation that an outcome has been settled.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 MLS Golden Boot. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLS rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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