Will Real Madrid finish in the top 2 of the 2026-27 LaLiga season?

Open market

Same event, all outcomes

BarcelonaUpdated 10 minutes ago96.7% Real MadridUpdated 10 minutes ago62.8% Atlético MadridUpdated 10 minutes ago43.5% LevanteUpdated 10 minutes ago4.9% ElcheUpdated 10 minutes ago3.1% ValenciaUpdated 10 minutes ago2.9% OsasunaUpdated 10 minutes ago2.5% Celta VigoUpdated 10 minutes ago2.4% VillarrealUpdated 10 minutes ago2.3% Rayo VallecanoUpdated 10 minutes ago1.9% BetisUpdated 10 minutes ago1.8% MálagaUpdated 10 minutes ago1.7% SevillaUpdated 10 minutes ago1.7% AlavésUpdated 10 minutes ago1.7% Deportivo La CoruñaUpdated 10 minutes ago1.5% GetafeUpdated 10 minutes ago1.5% Real SociedadUpdated 10 minutes ago1.4% Racing SantanderUpdated 10 minutes ago1.2% EspanyolUpdated 10 minutes ago1.1% Athletic BilbaoUpdated 10 minutes ago1.1%

Price history

Recorded probability

Up to 400 most recent snapshots in this period. Lines connect recorded points; prices between them may have moved.

View recorded values 79 snapshots

Recorded at	Probability
Sep 21, 01:00 UTC	62.8%
Sep 20, 03:46 UTC	97.2%
Sep 19, 03:31 UTC	97.2%
Sep 18, 03:16 UTC	97.2%
Sep 17, 03:01 UTC	96.5%
Sep 16, 02:46 UTC	88.0%
Sep 15, 02:31 UTC	87.0%
Sep 14, 13:15 UTC	87.5%
Sep 14, 12:01 UTC	88.0%
Sep 14, 11:01 UTC	88.0%
Sep 14, 10:01 UTC	88.0%
Sep 14, 09:00 UTC	88.0%
Sep 14, 08:00 UTC	87.5%
Sep 14, 07:00 UTC	88.5%
Sep 14, 05:46 UTC	89.0%
Sep 14, 04:46 UTC	89.5%
Sep 14, 03:46 UTC	89.5%
Sep 14, 02:46 UTC	90.5%
Sep 14, 01:46 UTC	90.5%
Sep 14, 00:46 UTC	90.5%
Sep 13, 23:45 UTC	90.5%
Sep 13, 22:45 UTC	90.5%
Sep 13, 21:45 UTC	90.5%
Sep 13, 20:31 UTC	90.5%
Sep 13, 19:31 UTC	90.5%
Sep 13, 18:31 UTC	90.5%
Sep 13, 17:31 UTC	90.5%
Sep 13, 16:30 UTC	90.5%
Sep 13, 15:30 UTC	90.5%
Sep 13, 14:30 UTC	90.5%
Sep 13, 13:30 UTC	90.5%
Sep 13, 02:01 UTC	90.5%
Sep 12, 03:16 UTC	90.5%
Sep 12, 02:16 UTC	90.5%
Sep 12, 01:15 UTC	90.5%
Sep 12, 00:01 UTC	90.5%
Sep 11, 23:01 UTC	90.5%
Sep 11, 22:00 UTC	90.5%
Sep 11, 18:00 UTC	90.5%
Sep 11, 16:01 UTC	90.5%
Sep 11, 15:01 UTC	90.5%
Sep 11, 14:00 UTC	90.5%
Sep 11, 13:00 UTC	90.5%
Sep 11, 11:46 UTC	90.5%
Sep 11, 10:46 UTC	90.5%
Sep 11, 09:45 UTC	90.5%
Sep 11, 08:31 UTC	91.0%
Sep 11, 07:31 UTC	91.0%
Sep 11, 06:31 UTC	91.5%
Sep 11, 05:31 UTC	92.0%
Sep 11, 04:30 UTC	92.0%
Sep 11, 03:16 UTC	92.5%
Sep 11, 02:16 UTC	91.0%
Sep 11, 01:15 UTC	90.5%
Sep 11, 00:01 UTC	91.0%
Sep 10, 23:01 UTC	91.0%
Sep 10, 22:00 UTC	91.0%
Sep 10, 20:46 UTC	91.0%
Sep 10, 19:45 UTC	87.0%
Sep 10, 18:31 UTC	84.5%
Sep 10, 17:15 UTC	86.5%
Sep 10, 16:15 UTC	85.5%
Sep 10, 15:15 UTC	84.0%
Sep 10, 14:15 UTC	85.5%
Sep 10, 13:15 UTC	85.0%
Sep 10, 12:01 UTC	85.0%
Sep 10, 11:01 UTC	85.0%
Sep 10, 10:00 UTC	87.5%
Sep 10, 08:46 UTC	88.0%
Sep 10, 07:46 UTC	88.5%
Sep 10, 06:46 UTC	88.5%
Sep 10, 05:45 UTC	88.5%
Sep 10, 04:31 UTC	88.0%
Sep 10, 03:31 UTC	87.5%
Sep 10, 02:31 UTC	88.0%
Sep 10, 01:30 UTC	88.0%
Sep 10, 00:30 UTC	88.0%
Sep 9, 23:30 UTC	88.0%
Sep 9, 01:01 UTC	89.5%

What settles this market?

Resolution rules supplied by Polymarket. A price near 100% is not confirmation that an outcome has been settled.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club finishes in the top 2 (positions 1 through 2) of the final standings of the 2026-27 LALIGA season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to finish in the top 2 of the 2026-27 LALIGA season (e.g., they are mathematically unable to achieve enough points), this market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie for the final top-2 position, this market will resolve based on the clubs officially recognized by LALIGA as finishing in the top 2 of the final standings. If the 2026-27 LALIGA season is cancelled, postponed after June 13, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there are otherwise no final standings declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from LALIGA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.