Will Lionel Messi win 2026 MLS Most Valuable Player?

Open market

Same event, all outcomes

Lionel MessiUpdated 15 hours ago65.6% Petar MusaUpdated 15 hours ago11.1% Sam SurridgeUpdated 15 hours ago8.2% EvanderUpdated 15 hours ago6.5% Luis SuárezUpdated 15 hours ago4.6% Denis BouangaUpdated 15 hours ago3.8% Thomas MüllerUpdated 15 hours ago2.2% Carles GilUpdated 15 hours ago2.1% Philip ZinckernagelUpdated 15 hours ago1.9% Emil ForsbergUpdated 15 hours ago1.6% Son Heung-minUpdated 15 hours ago1.5% Diego LunaUpdated 15 hours ago0.7% Martin OjedaUpdated 15 hours ago0.6% Sergio BusquetsUpdated 15 hours ago0.6% Dejan JoveljicUpdated 15 hours ago0.2% Anders DreyerUpdated 15 hours ago0.2%

Price history

Recorded probability

Up to 400 most recent snapshots in this period. Lines connect recorded points; prices between them may have moved.

View recorded values 13 snapshots

Recorded at	Probability
Sep 21, 04:01 UTC	65.6%
Sep 20, 03:46 UTC	68.1%
Sep 19, 03:45 UTC	67.8%
Sep 16, 02:47 UTC	67.8%
Sep 15, 02:31 UTC	67.8%
Sep 14, 02:16 UTC	65.6%
Sep 13, 02:15 UTC	65.2%
Sep 12, 02:00 UTC	65.1%
Sep 11, 01:31 UTC	64.9%
Sep 10, 01:16 UTC	64.2%
Sep 8, 00:46 UTC	62.6%
Sep 7, 00:31 UTC	59.6%
Sep 6, 00:20 UTC	59.0%

What settles this market?

Resolution rules supplied by Polymarket. A price near 100% is not confirmation that an outcome has been settled.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 MLS Landon Donovan Most Valuable Player. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLS rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.