Will Lionel Messi retire before 1 July 2027?

Open market

Same event, all outcomes

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Price history

Recorded probability

Up to 400 most recent snapshots in this period. Lines connect recorded points; prices between them may have moved.

View recorded values 5 snapshots

Recorded at	Probability
Sep 15, 02:31 UTC	20.5%
Sep 14, 02:17 UTC	20.5%
Sep 13, 02:02 UTC	20.5%
Sep 12, 01:46 UTC	22.0%
Sep 10, 01:30 UTC	51.0%

What settles this market?

Resolution rules supplied by Polymarket. A price near 100% is not confirmation that an outcome has been settled.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player announces his retirement from professional football on or before June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To resolve "Yes", the announcement must clearly state that the player is retiring from professional club football, and must come from the player himself, his official representatives, or his club. Retirement from international football alone does not qualify. The retirement must be intended to take effect immediately or before the start of the next club season following the announcement. A player who is without a club but has not announced his retirement has not retired for the purposes of this market. The primary resolution source will be official statements from the player or his club. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.