Will Lautaro Martínez win the 2026-27 Serie A Player of the Season award?

Open market

Same event, all outcomes

Donyell MalenUpdated 18 hours ago25.5% Lautaro MartínezUpdated 18 hours ago21.5% Paulo DybalaUpdated 18 hours ago10.5% Andrea PinamontiUpdated 18 hours ago10.2% Rasmus HøjlundUpdated 18 hours ago7.7% Riccardo OrsoliniUpdated 18 hours ago7.6% Christian PulisicUpdated 18 hours ago7.1% Marcus ThuramUpdated 18 hours ago5.4% Kenan YıldızUpdated 18 hours ago5.2% Moise KeanUpdated 18 hours ago5.1% Loïs OpendaUpdated 18 hours ago5.1% Lorenzo LuccaUpdated 18 hours ago4.5% Santiago CastroUpdated 18 hours ago4.5% Artem DovbykUpdated 18 hours ago4.3% Santiago GiménezUpdated 18 hours ago4.1% Gonçalo RamosUpdated 18 hours ago4.1% Randal Kolo MuaniUpdated 18 hours ago4.1% Gianluca ScamaccaUpdated 18 hours ago4.1% Valentín CastellanosUpdated 18 hours ago3.4% Francesco CamardaUpdated 18 hours ago3.4% Kevin De BruyneUpdated 18 hours ago3.3% Jonathan DavidUpdated 18 hours ago3.2% Ademola LookmanUpdated 18 hours ago2.8% Rafael LeãoUpdated 18 hours ago2.3%

Price history

Recorded probability

Up to 400 most recent snapshots in this period. Lines connect recorded points; prices between them may have moved.

View recorded values 38 snapshots

Recorded at	Probability
Sep 22, 04:16 UTC	21.5%
Sep 21, 11:31 UTC	20.5%
Sep 21, 10:30 UTC	20.5%
Sep 21, 09:30 UTC	20.5%
Sep 21, 08:16 UTC	20.5%
Sep 21, 07:16 UTC	20.5%
Sep 21, 06:16 UTC	20.5%
Sep 21, 05:15 UTC	20.5%
Sep 21, 04:15 UTC	20.5%
Sep 21, 03:01 UTC	20.0%
Sep 21, 02:01 UTC	20.0%
Sep 21, 01:00 UTC	20.0%
Sep 20, 03:47 UTC	11.5%
Sep 19, 03:31 UTC	11.5%
Sep 18, 03:16 UTC	11.5%
Sep 18, 02:01 UTC	11.5%
Sep 18, 01:01 UTC	11.5%
Sep 18, 00:00 UTC	11.5%
Sep 17, 22:46 UTC	11.5%
Sep 17, 21:46 UTC	11.5%
Sep 17, 20:45 UTC	11.5%
Sep 17, 13:16 UTC	11.5%
Sep 17, 12:16 UTC	11.5%
Sep 17, 11:16 UTC	11.5%
Sep 17, 10:16 UTC	11.5%
Sep 17, 09:16 UTC	11.5%
Sep 17, 08:16 UTC	11.5%
Sep 17, 07:15 UTC	11.5%
Sep 17, 06:02 UTC	11.5%
Sep 17, 04:46 UTC	11.5%
Sep 17, 03:45 UTC	11.5%
Sep 17, 02:45 UTC	11.5%
Sep 16, 02:47 UTC	13.5%
Sep 15, 02:31 UTC	20.5%
Sep 14, 02:17 UTC	24.0%
Sep 12, 01:46 UTC	20.5%
Sep 10, 01:16 UTC	27.5%
Sep 7, 00:31 UTC	29.5%

What settles this market?

Resolution rules supplied by Polymarket. A price near 100% is not confirmation that an outcome has been settled.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026-27 Serie A Player of the Season award, as awarded by Lega Serie A. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by Lega Serie A. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 Serie A season is cancelled, or there is otherwise no such award announced by June 13, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Lega Serie A (https://www.legaseriea.it); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.