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Will AC Milan qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?

Open market

Same event, all outcomes

Inter MilanUpdated 16 hours ago94.2% RomaUpdated 16 hours ago77.5% JuventusUpdated 16 hours ago67.5% AC MilanUpdated 16 hours ago61.5% ComoUpdated 16 hours ago56.5% NapoliUpdated 16 hours ago35.5% FiorentinaUpdated 16 hours ago25.4% AtalantaUpdated 16 hours ago10.0% LazioUpdated 16 hours ago10.0% BolognaUpdated 16 hours ago4.9% CagliariUpdated 16 hours ago3.5% MonzaUpdated 16 hours ago3.3% LecceUpdated 16 hours ago3.2% TorinoUpdated 16 hours ago3.1% FrosinoneUpdated 16 hours ago2.9% VeneziaUpdated 16 hours ago2.6% UdineseUpdated 16 hours ago2.4% GenoaUpdated 16 hours ago2.4% SassuoloUpdated 16 hours ago1.9% ParmaUpdated 16 hours ago1.6%

Price history

Recorded probability
Recorded market probability from Sep 6, 00:20 to Sep 21, 04:01 0%25%50%75%100% Sep 6, 00:20Sep 21, 04:01

Up to 400 most recent snapshots in this period. Lines connect recorded points; prices between them may have moved.

View recorded values 33 snapshots
Recorded atProbability
Sep 21, 04:01 UTC61.5%
Sep 20, 03:46 UTC60.0%
Sep 19, 03:31 UTC61.5%
Sep 18, 03:16 UTC62.5%
Sep 17, 03:01 UTC61.5%
Sep 16, 02:46 UTC62.0%
Sep 15, 02:31 UTC56.5%
Sep 15, 00:16 UTC57.5%
Sep 14, 23:16 UTC57.5%
Sep 14, 22:15 UTC56.5%
Sep 14, 11:45 UTC55.5%
Sep 14, 10:45 UTC55.5%
Sep 14, 09:45 UTC53.5%
Sep 14, 08:31 UTC56.0%
Sep 14, 07:31 UTC56.0%
Sep 14, 06:31 UTC55.5%
Sep 14, 05:30 UTC55.5%
Sep 14, 04:30 UTC55.5%
Sep 14, 03:16 UTC55.0%
Sep 14, 02:16 UTC55.0%
Sep 13, 02:01 UTC55.5%
Sep 12, 01:46 UTC63.0%
Sep 11, 01:31 UTC64.0%
Sep 10, 01:16 UTC64.5%
Sep 9, 01:01 UTC64.5%
Sep 8, 05:31 UTC65.5%
Sep 8, 04:31 UTC65.5%
Sep 8, 03:30 UTC65.5%
Sep 8, 00:46 UTC65.5%
Sep 7, 05:01 UTC61.5%
Sep 7, 04:00 UTC62.0%
Sep 7, 00:31 UTC62.5%
Sep 6, 00:20 UTC72.0%

What settles this market?

Resolution rules supplied by Polymarket. A price near 100% is not confirmation that an outcome has been settled.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team earns a place in the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League through the 2026-27 Serie A season or by winning a 2026-27 UEFA club competition. Qualifying routes that count include the team’s final 2026-27 Serie A league position, winning a domestic cup competition that carries a 2027-28 UEFA Champions League place, and earning a 2027-28 UEFA Champions League place by winning the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League or Europa League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Resolution is based on the competition to which the listed team is allocated by the final 2026-27 Serie A standings, the 2026-27 domestic cup results, and the 2026-27 UEFA competition winners. A place obtained by playing and advancing through the UEFA qualifying rounds held after the domestic season does not count, and movement between competitions caused by those qualifying rounds has no bearing on resolution. Once it becomes mathematically impossible for the listed team to earn a 2027-28 UEFA Champions League place by these routes, the associated market will immediately resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 Serie A season is cancelled or postponed past June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET such that the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League places cannot be determined, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA and/or Serie A; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related reporting

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