Will RB Leipzig qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League?

Open market

Same event, all outcomes

TSG HoffenheimUpdated 18 hours ago39.5% Union BerlinUpdated 18 hours ago20.0% SV ElversbergUpdated 18 hours ago18.5% RB LeipzigUpdated 18 hours ago18.0% Hamburger SVUpdated 18 hours ago17.5% VfB StuttgartUpdated 18 hours ago17.5% FSV Mainz 05Updated 18 hours ago17.5% Borussia MönchengladbachUpdated 18 hours ago17.0% Bayer LeverkusenUpdated 18 hours ago16.0% SC FreiburgUpdated 18 hours ago16.0% Eintracht FrankfurtUpdated 18 hours ago16.0% FC AugsburgUpdated 18 hours ago15.0% Werder BremenUpdated 18 hours ago14.0% Borussia DortmundUpdated 18 hours ago14.0% 1. FC KölnUpdated 18 hours ago12.5% Schalke 04Updated 18 hours ago8.5% SC PaderbornUpdated 18 hours ago4.5% Bayern MunichUpdated 18 hours ago3.3%

Price history

Recorded probability

Up to 400 most recent snapshots in this period. Lines connect recorded points; prices between them may have moved.

View recorded values 8 snapshots

Recorded at	Probability
Sep 20, 03:46 UTC	18.0%
Sep 19, 03:31 UTC	21.0%
Sep 18, 03:16 UTC	15.0%
Sep 17, 03:01 UTC	19.0%
Sep 16, 02:46 UTC	21.0%
Sep 15, 02:31 UTC	14.5%
Sep 13, 02:02 UTC	19.5%
Sep 12, 01:46 UTC	13.5%

What settles this market?

Resolution rules supplied by Polymarket. A price near 100% is not confirmation that an outcome has been settled.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team earns a place in the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League through the 2026-27 Bundesliga season or by winning a 2026-27 UEFA club competition. Qualifying routes that count include the team’s final 2026-27 Bundesliga league position, winning a domestic cup competition that carries a 2027-28 UEFA Europa League place, and earning a 2027-28 UEFA Europa League place by winning the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Resolution is based on the competition to which the listed team is allocated by the final 2026-27 Bundesliga standings, the 2026-27 domestic cup results, and the 2026-27 UEFA competition winners. A place obtained by playing and advancing through the UEFA qualifying rounds held after the domestic season does not count, and movement between competitions caused by those qualifying rounds has no bearing on resolution. Once it becomes mathematically impossible for the listed team to earn a 2027-28 UEFA Europa League place by these routes, the associated market will immediately resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 Bundesliga season is cancelled or postponed past June 6, 2027, 11:59 PM ET such that the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League places cannot be determined, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA and/or the Bundesliga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.