Skip to content

Will Monaco qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?

Open market

Same event, all outcomes

Paris Saint-GermainUpdated 18 hours ago97.5% MonacoUpdated 18 hours ago64.0% RennesUpdated 18 hours ago55.5% LilleUpdated 18 hours ago39.5% LensUpdated 18 hours ago37.0% LyonUpdated 18 hours ago31.5% AuxerreUpdated 18 hours ago22.9% Paris FCUpdated 18 hours ago14.5% StrasbourgUpdated 18 hours ago14.0% BrestUpdated 18 hours ago12.0% AngersUpdated 18 hours ago11.4% MarseilleUpdated 18 hours ago10.0% NiceUpdated 18 hours ago6.6% LorientUpdated 18 hours ago4.5% ToulouseUpdated 18 hours ago4.0% Le MansUpdated 18 hours ago3.1% Le HavreUpdated 18 hours ago2.6% TroyesUpdated 18 hours ago2.0%

Price history

Recorded probability
Recorded market probability from Sep 6, 00:21 to Sep 20, 03:46 0%25%50%75%100% Sep 6, 00:21Sep 20, 03:46

Up to 400 most recent snapshots in this period. Lines connect recorded points; prices between them may have moved.

View recorded values 24 snapshots
Recorded atProbability
Sep 20, 03:46 UTC64.0%
Sep 19, 03:31 UTC63.5%
Sep 18, 03:16 UTC59.5%
Sep 17, 03:01 UTC59.0%
Sep 16, 02:46 UTC58.5%
Sep 15, 02:31 UTC58.5%
Sep 14, 02:16 UTC58.5%
Sep 13, 02:01 UTC44.5%
Sep 12, 01:46 UTC47.5%
Sep 11, 01:45 UTC68.5%
Sep 10, 01:16 UTC69.0%
Sep 9, 07:45 UTC69.0%
Sep 9, 06:45 UTC69.0%
Sep 9, 05:31 UTC69.0%
Sep 9, 04:30 UTC69.0%
Sep 9, 03:16 UTC69.0%
Sep 9, 02:16 UTC69.0%
Sep 9, 01:15 UTC69.0%
Sep 9, 00:01 UTC69.0%
Sep 8, 23:01 UTC69.0%
Sep 8, 22:00 UTC69.0%
Sep 8, 00:46 UTC69.0%
Sep 7, 00:31 UTC74.5%
Sep 6, 00:21 UTC74.5%

What settles this market?

Resolution rules supplied by Polymarket. A price near 100% is not confirmation that an outcome has been settled.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team earns a place in the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League through the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season or by winning a 2026-27 UEFA club competition. Qualifying routes that count include the team’s final 2026-27 Ligue 1 league position, winning a domestic cup competition that carries a 2027-28 UEFA Champions League place, and earning a 2027-28 UEFA Champions League place by winning the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League or Europa League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Resolution is based on the competition to which the listed team is allocated by the final 2026-27 Ligue 1 standings, the 2026-27 domestic cup results, and the 2026-27 UEFA competition winners. A place obtained by playing and advancing through the UEFA qualifying rounds held after the domestic season does not count, and movement between competitions caused by those qualifying rounds has no bearing on resolution. Once it becomes mathematically impossible for the listed team to earn a 2027-28 UEFA Champions League place by these routes, the associated market will immediately resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season is cancelled or postponed past June 12, 2027, 11:59 PM ET such that the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League places cannot be determined, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA and/or Ligue 1; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related reporting

How Folarin Balogun’s failed Everton move disrupted Chelsea’s Monaco deal2 Sep 2026Juventus Eye Ex-Arsenal Forward Balogun as Alternative to Kolo Muani Deal15 Jul 2026Jürgen Klopp Reveals 'Most Expensive Non-Transfer' – The Private Jet Mission to Sign Kylian Mbappé10 Jul 2026Folarin Balogun Eyes Monaco Exit as Serie A Suitors Circle with Price Tag Set23 Jun 2026Monaco’s revival stuns PSG and breathes life back into the Ligue 1 title race12 Apr 2026

More football markets

All markets