Will Guadalajara win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?

Open market

Same event, all outcomes

TolucaUpdated 22 hours ago23.5% GuadalajaraUpdated 22 hours ago18.5% Cruz AzulUpdated 22 hours ago13.5% AméricaUpdated 22 hours ago13.5% MonterreyUpdated 22 hours ago6.3% QuerétaroUpdated 22 hours ago5.5% LeónUpdated 22 hours ago5.0% Pumas UNAMUpdated 22 hours ago4.0% AtlasUpdated 22 hours ago3.4% Tigres UANLUpdated 22 hours ago3.4% TijuanaUpdated 22 hours ago2.2% NecaxaUpdated 22 hours ago2.1% PachucaUpdated 22 hours ago1.8% PueblaUpdated 22 hours ago1.0% FC JuárezUpdated 22 hours ago0.6% AtlanteUpdated 22 hours ago0.6% Atlético de San LuisUpdated 22 hours ago0.3% Santos LagunaUpdated 22 hours ago0.2%

Price history

Recorded probability

Up to 400 most recent snapshots in this period. Lines connect recorded points; prices between them may have moved.

View recorded values 65 snapshots

Recorded at	Probability
Sep 28, 06:02 UTC	18.5%
Sep 27, 05:46 UTC	19.0%
Sep 26, 05:30 UTC	19.0%
Sep 25, 05:01 UTC	22.0%
Sep 24, 04:46 UTC	22.5%
Sep 23, 04:31 UTC	21.5%
Sep 22, 04:16 UTC	23.0%
Sep 21, 08:16 UTC	22.0%
Sep 21, 07:16 UTC	22.5%
Sep 21, 06:16 UTC	22.5%
Sep 21, 05:15 UTC	22.5%
Sep 21, 04:15 UTC	22.5%
Sep 21, 03:01 UTC	22.5%
Sep 21, 02:01 UTC	22.5%
Sep 21, 01:00 UTC	22.0%
Sep 21, 00:00 UTC	22.0%
Sep 20, 03:46 UTC	19.0%
Sep 19, 03:31 UTC	19.0%
Sep 18, 03:16 UTC	19.0%
Sep 17, 03:01 UTC	19.5%
Sep 16, 08:30 UTC	19.5%
Sep 16, 07:16 UTC	19.5%
Sep 16, 06:15 UTC	19.5%
Sep 16, 05:15 UTC	19.5%
Sep 16, 04:15 UTC	19.5%
Sep 16, 03:01 UTC	19.5%
Sep 16, 02:01 UTC	19.5%
Sep 16, 01:01 UTC	19.5%
Sep 16, 00:00 UTC	19.5%
Sep 15, 23:00 UTC	19.5%
Sep 15, 16:46 UTC	19.5%
Sep 15, 15:45 UTC	19.5%
Sep 15, 14:45 UTC	19.5%
Sep 15, 13:45 UTC	19.5%
Sep 15, 12:45 UTC	19.5%
Sep 15, 11:31 UTC	19.5%
Sep 15, 10:31 UTC	19.5%
Sep 15, 09:31 UTC	19.5%
Sep 15, 08:30 UTC	19.5%
Sep 15, 07:30 UTC	19.5%
Sep 15, 06:16 UTC	19.5%
Sep 15, 05:16 UTC	19.5%
Sep 15, 04:16 UTC	19.5%
Sep 15, 03:16 UTC	19.5%
Sep 15, 02:15 UTC	19.5%
Sep 15, 01:15 UTC	19.5%
Sep 15, 00:01 UTC	19.5%
Sep 14, 23:01 UTC	19.5%
Sep 14, 22:00 UTC	19.5%
Sep 14, 02:16 UTC	19.0%
Sep 13, 02:01 UTC	19.0%
Sep 12, 01:46 UTC	18.5%
Sep 11, 01:31 UTC	18.5%
Sep 10, 01:16 UTC	18.5%
Sep 9, 01:01 UTC	18.5%
Sep 8, 03:00 UTC	18.5%
Sep 8, 00:46 UTC	18.5%
Sep 7, 06:16 UTC	18.5%
Sep 7, 05:16 UTC	18.5%
Sep 7, 04:15 UTC	18.5%
Sep 7, 03:15 UTC	18.5%
Sep 7, 00:31 UTC	18.5%
Sep 6, 07:01 UTC	16.5%
Sep 6, 06:00 UTC	18.0%
Sep 6, 00:20 UTC	15.5%

What settles this market?

Resolution rules supplied by Polymarket. A price near 100% is not confirmation that an outcome has been settled.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 Apertura Final in Liga MX. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 Apertura in Liga MX per the rules of the Liga MX (e.g., they are eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 Liga MX season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from Liga MX; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.