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Will Borussia Dortmund qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?

Open market

Same event, all outcomes

Bayern MunichUpdated 18 hours ago96.4% Borussia DortmundUpdated 18 hours ago76.2% RB LeipzigUpdated 18 hours ago55.0% 1. FC KölnUpdated 18 hours ago53.9% Bayer LeverkusenUpdated 18 hours ago41.5% VfB StuttgartUpdated 18 hours ago24.5% TSG HoffenheimUpdated 18 hours ago21.0% SC FreiburgUpdated 18 hours ago20.0% Eintracht FrankfurtUpdated 18 hours ago14.0% Borussia MönchengladbachUpdated 18 hours ago12.5% SV ElversbergUpdated 18 hours ago10.2% Schalke 04Updated 18 hours ago5.9% FC AugsburgUpdated 18 hours ago4.0% Union BerlinUpdated 18 hours ago4.0% Hamburger SVUpdated 18 hours ago3.8% SC PaderbornUpdated 18 hours ago3.2% FSV Mainz 05Updated 18 hours ago3.0% Werder BremenUpdated 18 hours ago2.5%

Price history

Recorded probability
Recorded market probability from Sep 6, 00:20 to Sep 20, 03:46 0%25%50%75%100% Sep 6, 00:20Sep 20, 03:46

Up to 400 most recent snapshots in this period. Lines connect recorded points; prices between them may have moved.

View recorded values 15 snapshots
Recorded atProbability
Sep 20, 03:46 UTC76.2%
Sep 19, 03:32 UTC87.5%
Sep 18, 03:16 UTC89.0%
Sep 17, 03:01 UTC89.0%
Sep 16, 02:46 UTC89.0%
Sep 15, 02:31 UTC89.0%
Sep 14, 02:16 UTC93.9%
Sep 13, 02:15 UTC79.5%
Sep 12, 02:00 UTC79.5%
Sep 11, 01:31 UTC79.5%
Sep 10, 01:16 UTC79.5%
Sep 9, 01:01 UTC79.5%
Sep 8, 00:46 UTC79.5%
Sep 7, 00:31 UTC79.0%
Sep 6, 00:20 UTC83.0%

What settles this market?

Resolution rules supplied by Polymarket. A price near 100% is not confirmation that an outcome has been settled.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team earns a place in the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League through the 2026-27 Bundesliga season or by winning a 2026-27 UEFA club competition. Qualifying routes that count include the team’s final 2026-27 Bundesliga league position, winning a domestic cup competition that carries a 2027-28 UEFA Champions League place, and earning a 2027-28 UEFA Champions League place by winning the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League or Europa League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Resolution is based on the competition to which the listed team is allocated by the final 2026-27 Bundesliga standings, the 2026-27 domestic cup results, and the 2026-27 UEFA competition winners. A place obtained by playing and advancing through the UEFA qualifying rounds held after the domestic season does not count, and movement between competitions caused by those qualifying rounds has no bearing on resolution. Once it becomes mathematically impossible for the listed team to earn a 2027-28 UEFA Champions League place by these routes, the associated market will immediately resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 Bundesliga season is cancelled or postponed past June 6, 2027, 11:59 PM ET such that the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League places cannot be determined, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA and/or the Bundesliga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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