Will Benfica finish first in UEL league phase?

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Same event, all outcomes

Bayer LeverkusenUpdated 16 hours ago18.0% JuventusUpdated 16 hours ago15.0% BournemouthUpdated 16 hours ago14.0% BenficaUpdated 16 hours ago13.0% SunderlandUpdated 16 hours ago9.1% MilanUpdated 16 hours ago8.5% Real SociedadUpdated 16 hours ago8.5% TSG HoffenheimUpdated 16 hours ago8.0% BesiktasUpdated 16 hours ago7.3% Celta VigoUpdated 16 hours ago7.0% OlympiacosUpdated 16 hours ago6.5% Crystal PalaceUpdated 16 hours ago6.0% RennesUpdated 16 hours ago5.5% MarseilleUpdated 16 hours ago5.5% LillestromUpdated 16 hours ago5.0% NECUpdated 16 hours ago5.0% Hapoel Be'er ShevaUpdated 16 hours ago5.0% FerencvarosUpdated 16 hours ago5.0% Sparta PragueUpdated 16 hours ago5.0% AnderlechtUpdated 16 hours ago5.0% LyonUpdated 16 hours ago5.0% TorreenseUpdated 16 hours ago4.5% AZUpdated 16 hours ago4.5% CeljeUpdated 16 hours ago4.5% Sturm GrazUpdated 16 hours ago4.1% OmoniaUpdated 16 hours ago4.0% CelticUpdated 16 hours ago4.0% Dinamo ZagrebUpdated 16 hours ago4.0% Union Saint-GilloiseUpdated 16 hours ago4.0% Viktoria PlzenUpdated 16 hours ago4.0% Levski SofiaUpdated 16 hours ago4.0% Ararat-ArmeniaUpdated 16 hours ago4.0% Lech PoznanUpdated 16 hours ago3.5% OFIUpdated 16 hours ago3.2% Red Bull SalzburgUpdated 16 hours ago2.1% Jagiellonia BialystokUpdated 16 hours ago0.2%

Price history

Recorded probability

Up to 400 most recent snapshots in this period. Lines connect recorded points; prices between them may have moved.

View recorded values 25 snapshots

Recorded at	Probability
Sep 20, 06:46 UTC	13.0%
Sep 20, 05:46 UTC	13.0%
Sep 20, 04:45 UTC	13.0%
Sep 20, 03:45 UTC	13.0%
Sep 20, 02:31 UTC	13.0%
Sep 20, 01:31 UTC	13.0%
Sep 20, 00:30 UTC	13.0%
Sep 19, 23:16 UTC	13.0%
Sep 19, 22:15 UTC	13.0%
Sep 19, 21:11 UTC	13.5%
Sep 19, 03:31 UTC	15.5%
Sep 18, 07:31 UTC	12.0%
Sep 18, 06:31 UTC	12.0%
Sep 18, 05:30 UTC	12.0%
Sep 18, 04:30 UTC	12.5%
Sep 18, 03:30 UTC	12.5%
Sep 18, 02:30 UTC	12.5%
Sep 18, 01:16 UTC	13.0%
Sep 18, 00:15 UTC	18.5%
Sep 17, 23:15 UTC	18.5%
Sep 17, 22:15 UTC	24.0%
Sep 17, 03:01 UTC	11.5%
Sep 16, 02:46 UTC	7.5%
Sep 12, 01:46 UTC	24.0%
Sep 9, 01:15 UTC	48.0%

What settles this market?

Resolution rules supplied by Polymarket. A price near 100% is not confirmation that an outcome has been settled.

This market will resolve according to the team that finishes first in the league phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to finish first in the league phase (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If two or more clubs are level on points, the ranking will be determined according to UEFA's official tie-breaker criteria as published for the competition. If the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League league phase is canceled or not completed by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.