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Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-09-15?

Awaiting resolution
AFC Ajax vs Willem II TilburgOpen match centre

Same event, all outcomes

AFC AjaxUpdated 5 days ago100.0% Draw (AFC Ajax vs. Willem II Tilburg)Updated 5 days ago0.1% Willem II TilburgUpdated 5 days ago0.1%

Price history

Recorded probability
Recorded market probability from Sep 8, 00:46 to Sep 15, 21:46 0%25%50%75%100% Sep 8, 00:46Sep 15, 21:46

Up to 400 most recent snapshots in this period. Lines connect recorded points; prices between them may have moved.

View recorded values 169 snapshots
Recorded atProbability
Sep 15, 21:46 UTC100.0%
Sep 15, 20:45 UTC100.0%
Sep 15, 19:43 UTC100.0%
Sep 15, 18:43 UTC94.5%
Sep 15, 17:40 UTC88.5%
Sep 15, 16:40 UTC88.5%
Sep 15, 15:40 UTC87.5%
Sep 15, 14:40 UTC87.5%
Sep 15, 13:40 UTC87.5%
Sep 15, 12:38 UTC87.5%
Sep 15, 11:37 UTC87.5%
Sep 15, 10:35 UTC87.5%
Sep 15, 09:34 UTC87.5%
Sep 15, 08:34 UTC87.5%
Sep 15, 07:31 UTC87.5%
Sep 15, 06:30 UTC87.5%
Sep 15, 05:30 UTC87.5%
Sep 15, 04:29 UTC86.5%
Sep 15, 03:29 UTC86.5%
Sep 15, 02:28 UTC86.5%
Sep 15, 01:26 UTC86.5%
Sep 15, 00:26 UTC86.5%
Sep 14, 23:23 UTC86.5%
Sep 14, 22:22 UTC86.5%
Sep 14, 21:20 UTC86.5%
Sep 14, 20:19 UTC86.0%
Sep 14, 19:18 UTC85.5%
Sep 14, 18:17 UTC85.5%
Sep 14, 17:14 UTC85.5%
Sep 14, 16:13 UTC85.5%
Sep 14, 15:13 UTC85.5%
Sep 14, 14:12 UTC85.5%
Sep 14, 13:11 UTC85.5%
Sep 14, 12:08 UTC85.5%
Sep 14, 11:05 UTC84.5%
Sep 14, 10:05 UTC84.5%
Sep 14, 09:04 UTC84.5%
Sep 14, 08:03 UTC84.5%
Sep 14, 07:03 UTC84.5%
Sep 14, 06:02 UTC83.5%
Sep 14, 05:00 UTC83.5%
Sep 14, 03:58 UTC83.5%
Sep 14, 02:56 UTC83.0%
Sep 14, 01:54 UTC83.0%
Sep 14, 00:51 UTC83.0%
Sep 13, 23:51 UTC82.5%
Sep 13, 22:48 UTC82.5%
Sep 13, 21:47 UTC83.0%
Sep 13, 20:46 UTC82.5%
Sep 13, 19:46 UTC82.5%
Sep 13, 18:44 UTC82.5%
Sep 13, 17:44 UTC83.0%
Sep 13, 16:43 UTC83.0%
Sep 13, 15:41 UTC83.0%
Sep 13, 14:41 UTC83.0%
Sep 13, 13:39 UTC83.5%
Sep 13, 12:38 UTC83.0%
Sep 13, 11:37 UTC83.0%
Sep 13, 10:35 UTC82.5%
Sep 13, 09:32 UTC83.0%
Sep 13, 08:32 UTC83.0%
Sep 13, 07:30 UTC82.5%
Sep 13, 06:29 UTC83.0%
Sep 13, 05:29 UTC83.0%
Sep 13, 04:29 UTC83.0%
Sep 13, 03:28 UTC83.0%
Sep 13, 02:26 UTC82.5%
Sep 13, 01:25 UTC82.5%
Sep 13, 00:23 UTC82.5%
Sep 12, 23:22 UTC83.0%
Sep 12, 22:21 UTC82.5%
Sep 12, 21:18 UTC82.5%
Sep 12, 20:15 UTC82.5%
Sep 12, 19:11 UTC82.5%
Sep 12, 18:08 UTC82.5%
Sep 12, 17:07 UTC77.0%
Sep 12, 16:03 UTC77.5%
Sep 12, 14:15 UTC77.5%
Sep 12, 13:07 UTC76.5%
Sep 12, 12:06 UTC76.5%
Sep 12, 11:05 UTC78.5%
Sep 12, 10:02 UTC78.5%
Sep 12, 09:02 UTC78.5%
Sep 12, 08:01 UTC78.5%
Sep 12, 06:59 UTC78.5%
Sep 12, 05:56 UTC78.5%
Sep 12, 04:55 UTC78.5%
Sep 12, 03:53 UTC81.5%
Sep 12, 02:53 UTC81.5%
Sep 12, 01:52 UTC81.5%
Sep 12, 00:50 UTC81.0%
Sep 11, 23:50 UTC81.5%
Sep 11, 22:47 UTC81.0%
Sep 11, 21:47 UTC74.5%
Sep 11, 20:45 UTC75.0%
Sep 11, 19:42 UTC75.0%
Sep 11, 18:42 UTC74.5%
Sep 11, 17:42 UTC75.0%
Sep 11, 16:40 UTC75.5%
Sep 11, 15:39 UTC75.0%
Sep 11, 14:38 UTC76.0%
Sep 11, 13:35 UTC75.0%
Sep 11, 12:35 UTC75.0%
Sep 11, 11:33 UTC74.5%
Sep 11, 10:32 UTC75.5%
Sep 11, 09:32 UTC75.0%
Sep 11, 08:30 UTC80.0%
Sep 11, 07:30 UTC79.5%
Sep 11, 06:30 UTC80.0%
Sep 11, 05:28 UTC75.5%
Sep 11, 04:27 UTC77.0%
Sep 11, 03:26 UTC77.0%
Sep 11, 02:26 UTC76.5%
Sep 11, 01:23 UTC76.5%
Sep 11, 00:23 UTC76.5%
Sep 10, 23:20 UTC78.5%
Sep 10, 22:20 UTC78.5%
Sep 10, 21:18 UTC78.5%
Sep 10, 20:16 UTC75.5%
Sep 10, 19:15 UTC76.5%
Sep 10, 18:14 UTC77.0%
Sep 10, 17:12 UTC78.5%
Sep 10, 16:10 UTC78.5%
Sep 10, 15:08 UTC78.5%
Sep 10, 14:06 UTC78.5%
Sep 10, 13:04 UTC78.5%
Sep 10, 12:02 UTC78.5%
Sep 10, 11:01 UTC78.5%
Sep 10, 09:59 UTC78.5%
Sep 10, 08:58 UTC78.0%
Sep 10, 07:57 UTC78.0%
Sep 10, 06:57 UTC79.0%
Sep 10, 05:56 UTC78.5%
Sep 10, 04:56 UTC78.0%
Sep 10, 03:53 UTC78.0%
Sep 10, 02:52 UTC77.5%
Sep 10, 01:50 UTC77.5%
Sep 10, 00:48 UTC77.5%
Sep 9, 23:48 UTC77.5%
Sep 9, 22:47 UTC78.0%
Sep 9, 21:44 UTC79.0%
Sep 9, 20:42 UTC80.0%
Sep 9, 19:40 UTC77.5%
Sep 9, 18:38 UTC77.5%
Sep 9, 17:35 UTC78.5%
Sep 9, 16:34 UTC78.0%
Sep 9, 15:33 UTC78.0%
Sep 9, 14:30 UTC79.0%
Sep 9, 13:30 UTC78.5%
Sep 9, 12:30 UTC79.0%
Sep 9, 11:29 UTC78.0%
Sep 9, 10:28 UTC78.0%
Sep 9, 09:27 UTC76.0%
Sep 9, 08:27 UTC76.0%
Sep 9, 07:25 UTC78.5%
Sep 9, 06:22 UTC79.0%
Sep 9, 05:19 UTC79.0%
Sep 9, 04:19 UTC79.0%
Sep 9, 03:16 UTC79.0%
Sep 9, 02:16 UTC79.0%
Sep 9, 01:15 UTC78.5%
Sep 9, 00:12 UTC78.0%
Sep 8, 23:11 UTC77.0%
Sep 8, 22:08 UTC77.5%
Sep 8, 21:07 UTC76.0%
Sep 8, 20:07 UTC76.0%
Sep 8, 19:02 UTC76.0%
Sep 8, 18:00 UTC75.5%
Sep 8, 00:46 UTC77.0%

What settles this market?

Resolution rules supplied by Polymarket. A price near 100% is not confirmation that an outcome has been settled.

In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 15, 2026 If AFC Ajax wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

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