How the World Cup last 32 works
The 2026 World Cup expanded to 48 teams, with the top two from each of the 12 groups and the eight best third-placed sides advancing to a new round of 32. This creates a mixed bracket where group winners can face third-placed teams, while runners-up mostly play other runners-up. The exact pairings are predetermined by a fixed draw, meaning each nation's finishing position directly determines their knockout pathway.
England's potential opponents
England kicked off their Group L campaign with a thrilling 4-2 win over Croatia, putting them in a strong position to top the group. If they finish first, Thomas Tuchel's side would face one of the best third-placed teams from Groups D, E, or F in the round of 32. Should they slip to second, they would likely meet the runner-up from Group K—a section currently led by Japan after their opening victory.
"The way in which England played in that first 10, 15 minutes of the second half was probably the best 10, 15 minutes we've seen from any team in the tournament so far," Gary Neville told Sky Sports. "That's not to get carried away because I know there's a long way to go and a game of football isn't over 10 or 15 minutes."
With France winning their group and Neville still viewing them as favourites, the path to the latter stages looks challenging. Avoiding France until later could be key, and topping the group is the best way to navigate a kinder early draw.
Scotland's path to the last 32
Scotland are yet to play their second group match in Group D, but a positive result against their next opponent would put them in the frame for a knockout spot. If they win the group, they'd be paired with a third-placed team from Groups B, E, or F. A runner-up finish would send them into a clash with the Group H winner—potentially a side like Portugal or Uruguay. The Scots will be desperate to avoid that scenario and keep their World Cup adventure alive.
Key Takeaways
- England are well-placed to top Group L after an impressive 4-2 victory over Croatia, potentially setting up a round-of-32 tie against a third-placed opponent.
- Scotland's fate hinges on their remaining group games; a top-two finish is a must, but the difference between first and second could mean facing a powerhouse.
- The fixed bracket means group positions are vital—win the group, and the path often avoids other group winners until later rounds.
- With France still the favourite for many, both home nations will be eyeing the opposite side of the draw to dream of a deep run.
Quick Facts
England result: Beat Croatia 4-2 in their Group L opener
Neville's verdict: Called England's second-half burst "the best football of the tournament"
Who England could face: A third-placed team from Group D, E, or F if they win the group; or the runner-up from Group K if second
Scotland's group: Group D; final opponents still to be decided
