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Ballon d'Or 2026: Erling Haaland or Jude Bellingham to finish higher?

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Price history

Recorded probability
Recorded market probability from Sep 30, 06:32 to Oct 5, 07:46 0%25%50%75%100% Sep 30, 06:32Oct 5, 07:46

Up to 400 most recent snapshots in this period. Lines connect recorded points; prices between them may have moved.

View recorded values 5 snapshots
Recorded atProbability
Oct 5, 07:46 UTC0.0%
Oct 4, 07:31 UTC0.0%
Oct 2, 07:01 UTC0.0%
Oct 1, 06:46 UTC0.0%
Sep 30, 06:32 UTC0.0%

What settles this market?

Resolution rules supplied by Polymarket. A price near 100% is not confirmation that an outcome has been settled.

This market will resolve to "Haaland" if Erling Haaland finishes higher than Jude Bellingham in the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. This market will resolve to "Bellingham" if Jude Bellingham finishes higher than Erling Haaland. The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026. If both players are given the same placement in the official ranking, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the award is postponed after November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the official placements of both players have not been published within this timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or ranking; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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